NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	116		Excitement	9.8 [64]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +60.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	3.8 [264]		LVP	Delonte West (CLE): -16.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.61	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.11,0.39,0.61	0.21	0.43	0.03	17	75%	0.66	3	-0.05	14	100%	0.19
Mike Dunleavy	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.07	0.17	-0.03	6	77%	0.29	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	10	73%	0.20	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Brandon Rush	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.11	0.00	15	52%	0.19	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
A.J. Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.01	15	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	0.04	10	55%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	14	66%	0.30	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	10	68%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.06	0.01	11	78%	0.14	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	58%	0.09	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0	0.00	0.10	-0.09	0.01	11	65%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Leon Powe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	38%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	11	27%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	29.0	15.8	26.4	2.7	36.0	138.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +82.4%

CLE -18.9%

CLE -32.2%

IND +19.3%

CLE -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	13.1	16.6	15.3	119.6	116.5	106.0
season	14.2	16.1		102.2	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		103.3	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.1	13.8	13.0	14.8	13.1
CLE	17.0	17.0	16.5	15.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	61	61	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-9	21	13.3	12.7	0.59	16.3	17.0	-0.73
Earl Watson	68	68	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.54	4	-1	5	12.8	13.8	-0.95	16.2	17.4	-1.16
Brandon Rush	78	81	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.46	-1	4	-5	13.4	11.9	1.53	16.8	15.3	1.50
Danny Granger	78	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	4	-5	13.2	13.0	0.15	16.3	17.6	-1.34
Troy Murphy	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.50	-5	8	-13	13.0	13.4	-0.35	16.9	15.9	0.98
Josh McRoberts	42	40	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-3	9	12.3	13.7	-1.39	16.7	16.5	0.27
Roy Hibbert	62	64	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	2	-1	13.1	13.1	0.06	16.4	16.8	-0.38
A.J. Price	29	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.12	-1	4	-5	13.8	12.8	0.95	17.4	16.2	1.16

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	43	44	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.08	12	-15	27	16.9	16.3	0.57	12.5	13.7	-1.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	50	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.05	6	-9	15	16.8	16.3	0.54	13.8	12.4	1.31
Leon Powe	38	38	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-5	7	16.4	16.7	-0.28	12.2	13.7	-1.59
Danny Green	20	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	2	-7	16.6	16.6	0.04	13.1	13.1	-0.09
Jawad Williams	42	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-1	-1	15.8	17.2	-1.38	12.6	13.5	-0.85
JJ Hickson	56	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	4	-11	16.8	16.2	0.60	12.3	14.3	-2.02
Anderson Varejao	46	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	0	-3	16.4	16.7	-0.29	14.5	12.0	2.51
Jamario Moon	71	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	3	-9	16.6	16.5	0.09	13.2	12.9	0.27
Sebastian Telfair	59	58	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.40	-8	5	-13	16.5	16.6	-0.11	13.8	12.2	1.62
Anthony Parker	59	60	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.56	-4	1	-5	16.7	16.4	0.24	13.1	13.2	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.27,0	91.8%
BKN 96, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	91.7%
SEA 84, DEN 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.68,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.15,0	91.4%