NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	8.6 [189]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (MEM): +14.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	3.6 [225]		LVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): -28.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	9	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.11	-0.05	0.01	11	74%	0.07	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.05
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	6	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.07
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Stromile Swift	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28	-0.04	-0.23	0.01	12	55%	-0.13	3	-0.15	7	100%	0.07

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	10	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	23	60%	0.21	3	-0.28	17	94%	0.15
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.03	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	4	40%	-0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	26.2	15.4	28.6	2.3	31.6	130.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -10.8%

PHI -8.5%

MEM +34.5%

MEM +21.8%

MEM +13.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHI	NBA	MEM	PHI	NBA
this game	17.8	13.6	15.5	106.5	103.3	104.0
season	16.4	13.9		103.7	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.2	17.2	18.1	19.9	17.8
PHI	12.1	14.1	12.4	16.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	39	38	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-6	15	18.6	17.1	1.50	14.7	12.7	2.01
Shane Battier	65	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.57	-1	4	-5	18.0	17.1	0.96	13.0	14.8	-1.80
Jason Williams	39	40	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	0	3	18.9	16.9	2.04	12.5	14.4	-1.91
Stromile Swift	45	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	3	-3	18.1	17.4	0.66	13.0	14.2	-1.20
Dahntay Jones	57	57	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.43	-4	7	-11	18.1	17.2	0.93	12.7	15.0	-2.33
Mike Miller	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	-2	7	17.4	18.1	-0.69	14.4	12.6	1.87
Earl Watson	53	52	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	3	-3	16.9	18.9	-2.04	14.4	12.5	1.91
Ryan Humphrey	30	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	2	-1	17.5	17.9	-0.32	14.1	13.3	0.74
Lorenzen Wright	50	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	4	-5	17.2	18.4	-1.25	13.3	13.9	-0.57
Brian Cardinal	33	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.15	3	0	3	16.6	18.4	-1.74	14.2	13.2	1.07

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	32	31	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.08	10	-13	23	14.4	13.1	1.26	17.7	17.8	-0.06
Corliss Williamson	38	38	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	15.4	12.2	3.23	17.4	18.0	-0.56
Aaron McKie	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-8	13	15.1	12.1	3.03	17.5	18.0	-0.44
Willie Green	26	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	8	-19	14.3	13.2	1.10	17.6	17.8	-0.15
Kyle Korver	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-7	11	13.2	14.7	-1.48	17.9	17.2	0.70
Allen Iverson	86	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-4	5	13.3	17.8	-4.58	17.9	15.5	2.41
Andre Iguodala	50	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	5	-13	12.8	14.5	-1.74	17.5	18.0	-0.51
Samuel Dalembert	55	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	9	-21	13.2	14.1	-0.97	18.2	17.1	1.05
Kenny Thomas	59	59	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.49	-8	5	-13	12.3	15.9	-3.62	17.6	18.0	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, VAN 94	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.27,0	91.8%
IND 116, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.42,0	91.8%
CHA 93, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.43,0.02,0	91.0%