NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	96		Excitement	9.6 [123]		MVP	Shaquille Harrison (CHI): +27.3%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	4.0 [351]		LVP	Justin Holiday (CHI): -38.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.13	0.12	0.04	15	71%	0.31	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.06
Joe Harris	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,0.16	-0.00	0.13	-0.03	9	61%	0.21	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ed Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.08	-0.09	0.03	12	59%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	10	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
DeMarre Carroll	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	-0.00	14	46%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.17	-0.00	8	76%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	6	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	18	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	10	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.07,-0.02,-0.21	-0.21	0.02	-0.21	0.02	21	55%	0.09	3	-0.30	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.38	-0.38	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	10	25%	-0.05	2	-0.33	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	26.3	14.7	29.0	1.8	31.2	127.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +8.1%

BKN +10.6%

BKN +8.7%

BKN +23.8%

CHI -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHI	NBA	BKN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	14.3	103.2	100.0	109.3
season	14.3	14.6		108.6	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		112.4	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.0	17.3	15.0	15.8	15.5
CHI	15.4	16.1	15.7	14.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	60	60	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.48	10	-7	17	15.9	14.7	1.17	16.0	14.5	1.50
Jarrett Allen	60	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.57	1	2	-1	15.6	15.3	0.28	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	54	53	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.60	0	3	-3	15.8	15.1	0.75	15.2	15.9	-0.77
Joe Harris	54	55	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.54	2	1	1	15.9	14.8	1.10	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Jared Dudley	40	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	-2	7	14.7	16.1	-1.38	15.6	15.4	0.14
DeMarre Carroll	39	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	4	-5	14.5	16.2	-1.63	15.7	15.3	0.40
D'Angelo Russell	59	60	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	16.1	14.4	1.78	15.6	15.2	0.42
Shabazz Napier	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	2	-1	17.3	15.1	2.22	16.9	15.2	1.71
Ed Davis	33	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	3	-3	15.3	15.6	-0.28	16.1	15.2	0.89
Rodions Kurucs	49	48	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.12	-3	6	-9	14.1	17.0	-2.92	14.0	17.0	-2.98

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	29	28	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-1	-1	16.4	15.0	1.40	15.5	15.5	0.07
Bobby Portis	47	48	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.16	-4	1	-5	15.4	15.5	-0.07	15.5	15.4	0.12
Cameron Payne	40	38	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-1	-1	16.0	15.1	0.99	14.8	15.9	-1.13
Chandler Hutchison	11	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	19.1	15.0	4.09	15.1	15.5	-0.46
Ryan Arcidiacono	44	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-4	5	15.0	15.9	-0.92	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Shaquille Harrison	50	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	4	-11	15.6	15.3	0.29	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Kris Dunn	67	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-4	5	15.1	16.3	-1.20	15.9	14.5	1.41
Wendell Carter Jr.	45	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.62	3	-6	9	15.8	15.1	0.70	15.4	15.5	-0.12
Justin Holiday	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.48	-2	-1	-1	14.9	17.1	-2.18	15.6	15.1	0.50
Lauri Markkanen	64	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.53	-1	-2	1	15.0	16.4	-1.40	15.5	15.5	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, GSW 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.42,0	91.7%
IND 116, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.42,0	91.7%
MIL 83, ATL 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	91.5%