NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	6.3 [524]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +18.2%
Indiana Pacers	113		Comeback	1.0 [1147]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (NYK): -14.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.00	14	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.02	-0.03	10	71%	0.14	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Henry Walker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Earl Barron	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	16	46%	-0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	12	17%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.10	-0.05	27	53%	0.27	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.02
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	110%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	8	68%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	14	45%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	53%	0.05	1	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	29.2	15.4	24.9	1.8	29.3	123.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +46.4%

NYK -5.8%

IND +1.3%

NYK -0.6%

IND +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.3	114.1	122.8	106.0
season	14.7	14.2		105.9	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	13.1	14.4	17.1	14.9
IND	14.4	15.2	18.4	18.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	46	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-6	4	15.0	14.8	0.20	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Earl Barron	52	55	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-17	26	16.5	12.9	3.63	16.0	16.9	-0.95
Tracy McGrady	49	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-7	6	15.4	14.4	0.95	15.3	17.6	-2.34
Henry Walker	57	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-9	10	13.2	17.7	-4.46	16.8	15.7	1.08
Toney Douglas	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-8	8	14.0	16.8	-2.84	16.9	15.4	1.55
Sergio Rodriguez	46	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	-2	-4	14.8	15.0	-0.20	16.5	16.3	0.20
Danilo Gallinari	74	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	7	-22	15.4	12.9	2.53	16.7	15.2	1.51
David Lee	75	73	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.02	-26	18	-44	15.1	14.1	1.06	16.3	16.5	-0.18

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	53	55	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.28	14	-6	20	16.6	16.1	0.53	14.3	15.9	-1.62
Danny Granger	76	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-4	16	16.4	16.4	-0.07	15.4	12.9	2.50
Troy Murphy	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	-5	18	16.6	15.8	0.74	15.2	14.2	0.99
Earl Watson	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-2	12	16.8	14.9	1.89	15.4	13.1	2.27
Josh McRoberts	28	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	3	2	15.7	16.7	-1.01	13.0	15.8	-2.76
A.J. Price	38	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	1	6	15.1	17.3	-2.17	13.7	15.8	-2.14
Brandon Rush	55	53	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	12	-16	17.1	15.4	1.68	16.2	13.1	3.12
Roy Hibbert	41	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	12	-16	15.7	17.0	-1.30	15.4	14.5	0.84
Dahntay Jones	29	28	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.05	-13	21	-34	16.6	16.3	0.35	13.5	15.5	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,1	93.2%
OKC 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.8%
MEM 92, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	92.7%