inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 92 Excitement5.5 [707] MVPNene (DEN): +12.4%
Denver Nuggets 109 Comeback1.5 [827] LVPNicolas Batum (POR): -13.5%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Martell Webster0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.010.03977%0.111-0.02475%-0.01
Marcus Camby0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.000.03786%0.0800.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.011850%0.092-0.071267%-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.001548%0.031-0.02367%-0.01
Jeff Ayres0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Diener0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Roy-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.051342%0.032-0.047100%0.04
Juwan Howard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.00350%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Jerryd Bayless-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Rudy Fernandez-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.03819%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.0140%-0.092-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.020.041465%0.1200.00667%-0.02
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.040.021362%0.151-0.03887%0.03
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.00675%0.1000.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.02-0.041645%0.0800.001100%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.020.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.01162%0.0300.00683%0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00650%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.020.002153%0.069-0.195100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.53.539.420.330.53.429.6153.1
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +41.0%
POR -0.7%
DEN +4.7%
DEN +5.7%
POR -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDENNBAPORDENNBA
this game16.615.015.3101.1119.8106.0
season16.714.4108.8110.3
opponent15.515.6106.4106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR17.414.517.917.016.6
DEN14.713.212.620.915.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Ayres430.00-0.500.500.000-171712.216.8-4.5818.714.93.77
Travis Diener430.00-0.500.500.000-171712.216.8-4.5818.714.93.77
Dante Cunningham430.00-0.500.500.000-171712.216.8-4.5818.714.93.77
Jerryd Bayless1515-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-161513.817.2-3.3814.915.0-0.11
Marcus Camby6162-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-6-11516.616.7-0.0615.314.40.89
Andre Miller6262-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-11516.916.00.8716.112.83.32
Nicolas Batum3938-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-7-10317.416.11.2815.414.80.59
Martell Webster5253-0.26-0.24-0.030.03-10-7-316.117.4-1.2814.815.4-0.59
Brandon Roy6767-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.09-9-8-116.716.40.2815.413.81.61
Juwan Howard4447-0.38-0.12-0.260.00-13-4-917.415.91.4713.816.4-2.60
LaMarcus Aldridge6967-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.00-15-2-1316.716.50.1715.314.21.11
Rudy Fernandez3435-0.45-0.05-0.400.08-181-1917.716.01.7712.116.9-4.82

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith57580.64-0.140.77-0.0423-62915.114.90.1817.215.51.70
Chris Andersen45440.450.050.410.16107313.216.8-3.6517.615.71.96
Chauncey Billups61600.390.110.28-0.081611515.414.21.2316.816.30.51
Anthony Carter33340.340.160.190.1189-112.616.4-3.7416.716.60.17
Malik Allen25250.320.180.14-0.121521316.814.32.4517.316.40.90
Nene64640.310.190.13-0.101431115.414.11.3016.616.60.05
Ty Lawson16180.110.39-0.28-0.04512-713.215.4-2.2314.917.1-2.17
Carmelo Anthony60590.080.42-0.34-0.01314-1116.013.22.7716.716.50.15
Johan Petro43440.020.48-0.470.05-118-1915.114.90.2215.817.4-1.65
Arron Afflalo4240-0.050.55-0.610.09-522-2715.214.90.2716.216.9-0.67
Joey Graham99-0.110.61-0.71-0.02-320-2317.914.73.1813.217.0-3.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 86, CLE 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,195.1%
OKC 77, HOU 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.9%
HOU 105, MIN 1210.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.1%