inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 105 Excitement5.1 [825] MVPJeff Teague (MIN): +12.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves 121 Comeback1.4 [380] LVPPJ Tucker (HOU): -6.1%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.020.041171%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Gerald Green0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.01862%0.0700.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.01-0.01560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Nene0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.002100%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Ryan Anderson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.09-0.020.076100%0.082-0.0800%0.00
Aaron Jackson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Zhou Qi0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tarik Black0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Clint Capela-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.01639%-0.0000.00617%-0.04
Eric Gordon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001643%-0.021-0.01367%-0.01
James Harden-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.05-0.030.052156%0.044-0.071080%0.01
PJ Tucker-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01629%-0.051-0.012100%0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Teague0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.160.030.061474%0.141-0.01367%-0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.020.041177%0.141-0.02450%-0.04
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.03-0.061355%0.143-0.047100%0.02
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.140.000.081964%0.111-0.04667%-0.00
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.020.02383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.001653%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.02737%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.329.514.324.53.433.2135.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +35.0%
HOU -2.8%
MIN +6.6%
MIN +9.9%
MIN +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMINNBAHOUMINNBA
this game14.515.914.7111.7127.4107.5
season14.615.3112.8111.8
opponent14.414.8110.2105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.714.214.912.414.5
MIN14.616.415.117.615.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Jackson230.00-0.500.500.000-16166.014.7-8.7228.015.512.46
Zhou Qi230.00-0.500.500.000-16166.014.7-8.7228.015.512.46
Tarik Black230.00-0.500.500.000-16166.014.7-8.7228.015.512.46
PJ Tucker4544-0.17-0.330.150.03-7-9214.914.20.7715.916.0-0.05
Chris Paul5961-0.18-0.320.13-0.04-5-11615.013.81.1715.516.8-1.34
Clint Capela5353-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-9215.313.61.6815.117.0-1.82
Trevor Ariza6968-0.22-0.280.060.01-8-8014.514.6-0.0415.417.2-1.74
James Harden7373-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-131014.614.10.5015.218.4-3.16
Nene2323-0.25-0.250.00-0.04-7-9215.014.40.6816.115.90.20
Ryan Anderson3838-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-12-4-813.915.0-1.1115.316.4-1.08
Eric Gordon6867-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-3-1014.215.4-1.2316.015.80.16
Gerald Green3639-0.48-0.02-0.450.05-182-2014.514.6-0.1017.714.73.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jimmy Butler83820.52-0.020.54-0.0419-32215.518.9-3.4114.713.70.99
Jeff Teague80820.430.070.370.051331015.617.9-2.3714.514.9-0.44
Derrick Rose42410.320.180.13-0.061331017.514.72.8013.215.6-2.37
Jamal Crawford36360.300.200.100.0788017.115.21.9414.114.8-0.64
Gorgui Dieng16160.300.200.090.00106416.315.90.4516.514.12.37
Taj Gibson49490.250.250.010.08610-414.317.7-3.4115.713.32.38
Karl-Anthony Towns79780.200.30-0.090.03610-415.916.3-0.4514.116.5-2.37
Andrew Wiggins69700.180.32-0.150.03511-615.217.8-2.6314.614.40.21
Tyus Jones15120.070.43-0.37-0.02313-1017.915.62.3714.914.50.44
Aaron Brooks100.000.50-0.500.00016-1637.015.721.290.014.5-14.53
Nemanja Bjelica54-0.070.57-0.640.02-319-2223.215.57.6714.214.5-0.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 84, LAL 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%
DAL 86, PHX 1060.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%
POR 92, DEN 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.1%