inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 86 Excitement5.0 [811] MVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +8.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 95 Comeback1.5 [925] LVPRichard Hamilton (DET): -11.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.02970%0.062-0.032100%0.01
Darko Milicic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00450%-0.0400.00683%0.02
Bob Sura-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00325%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Elden Campbell-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.01657%0.012-0.052100%0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.000.02744%-0.041-0.024100%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03812%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.010.04350%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.021437%-0.071-0.02250%-0.00
Ben Wallace-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.060.000.04750%-0.032-0.05667%-0.03
Richard Hamilton-0.120,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.060.011259%0.014-0.13887%0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.01-0.03771%0.131-0.0400%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.001670%0.154-0.08875%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001150%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Darius Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.01-0.03550%0.033-0.052100%0.01
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.031100%0.001-0.022100%0.00
Michael Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.001058%0.054-0.11683%0.02
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.03-0.052146%0.014-0.10875%-0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.01225%-0.062-0.04450%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.33.636.018.829.23.534.5153.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +68.2%
DET -5.3%
CLE +8.0%
DET -18.9%
DET -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCLENBADETCLENBA
this game15.114.615.787.899.0100.5
season16.215.799.299.8
opponent15.516.0102.392.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.912.717.414.015.1
CLE17.413.514.513.714.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darko Milicic22-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-9915.015.1-0.059.514.7-5.24
Corliss Williamson3836-0.08-0.420.33-0.142-111313.116.3-3.2213.915.1-1.24
Elden Campbell2929-0.09-0.410.31-0.152-111316.714.42.3316.813.73.04
Zeljko Rebraca3330-0.12-0.380.25-0.10-1-8713.915.6-1.7714.414.7-0.29
Chauncey Billups6869-0.13-0.370.23-0.285-141915.813.42.3315.313.02.28
Tremaine Fowlkes3632-0.20-0.300.11-0.05-5-4-113.116.2-3.1513.215.3-2.13
Bob Sura1816-0.23-0.270.040.03-90-913.415.4-2.0412.615.0-2.41
Richard Hamilton7776-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.24-1-8715.613.12.4915.112.72.44
Chucky Atkins3028-0.29-0.21-0.070.07-123-1513.415.8-2.3312.715.4-2.66
Tayshaun Prince6163-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.23-4-5116.113.32.8215.313.41.85
Ben Wallace7474-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.25-4-5115.713.02.7715.412.13.24
Mehmet Okur2425-0.37-0.13-0.240.16-189-2715.514.90.6512.015.5-3.51

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Mihm36390.500.000.49-0.0619-102913.615.2-1.6415.614.70.98
LeBron James84850.460.040.430.2090914.614.60.0615.711.04.67
Darius Miles47470.330.170.160.2145-113.116.1-3.0414.215.8-1.57
Ricky Davis78770.310.190.130.2045-114.415.7-1.3416.011.64.43
Carlos Boozer79790.310.190.110.2527-514.614.60.0615.911.64.31
Kevin Ollie18210.190.31-0.120.0454115.714.41.3411.616.0-4.43
Zydrunas Ilgauskas47480.110.39-0.280.20-312-1515.913.52.3815.414.70.63
Ira Newble55570.100.40-0.290.0527-515.713.12.6015.414.60.72
Jason Kapono670.100.40-0.300.0136-316.514.51.9910.615.4-4.82
Michael Stewart30300.080.42-0.330.0809-913.915.0-1.0211.616.6-5.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 92, MIA 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,196.1%
OKC 77, HOU 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%
POR 92, DEN 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.1%