NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	77		Excitement	4.9 [859]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +13.2%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	1.2 [1244]		LVP	Earl Watson (OKC): -13.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	20	59%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	48%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	12	24%	-0.08	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.04	11	58%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	9	42%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	12	38%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	15	55%	0.03	5	-0.08	10	90%	0.04
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	15	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	28.3	15.7	24.1	2.4	27.6	125.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +15.3%

HOU +20.1%

HOU +10.9%

HOU +4.4%

OKC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.3	16.4	15.5	79.4	91.8	106.4
season	14.9	16.3		100.5	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.7	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.2	13.1	13.1	14.0	13.3
HOU	14.5	19.0	15.7	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johan Petro	59	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-14	16	12.9	14.0	-1.08	15.6	17.6	-2.01
Earl Watson	62	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-16	20	12.8	14.4	-1.61	16.0	17.1	-1.08
Nick Collison	57	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-10	8	13.5	13.1	0.41	16.1	16.7	-0.53
Jeff Green	72	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-6	0	13.2	13.8	-0.62	16.7	15.3	1.41
Kevin Durant	71	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-11	10	13.0	14.2	-1.11	15.9	17.7	-1.75
Joe Smith	42	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-1	-10	13.3	13.4	-0.10	17.5	15.5	1.96
Chris Wilcox	37	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-1	-10	13.5	13.2	0.32	16.6	16.2	0.42
Russell Westbrook	37	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	7	-26	14.3	12.7	1.55	17.1	15.9	1.24
Desmond Mason	48	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	4	-20	14.2	12.4	1.80	16.4	16.3	0.10

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	88	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.14	13	-1	14	16.6	13.7	2.96	13.6	11.2	2.39
Yao Ming	81	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	-1	14	15.5	20.6	-5.04	13.1	14.7	-1.57
Brent Barry	35	35	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	0	12	17.3	15.8	1.51	13.5	13.3	0.23
Aaron Brooks	29	28	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	3	6	18.7	15.4	3.34	14.5	12.9	1.68
Carl Landry	53	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	4	4	17.3	15.2	2.06	13.9	12.7	1.13
Luis Scola	46	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	10	-8	15.3	17.3	-2.03	12.5	14.1	-1.52
Rafer Alston	68	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	9	-6	15.4	18.7	-3.34	12.9	14.5	-1.68
Tracy McGrady	71	72	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	13	-14	15.5	18.6	-3.04	13.0	14.4	-1.43
Charles Hayes	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	11	-10	21.1	15.5	5.60	15.4	13.0	2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
POR 92, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CHA 80, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%