NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	6.5 [483]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): +13.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	87		Comeback	1.3 [489]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -18.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	6	69%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Juwan Howard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	18	60%	0.12	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	14	50%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	22	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Martell Webster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	6	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	80%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.07	-0.01	18	57%	0.12	5	-0.16	15	87%	0.04
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	14	47%	-0.04	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	14	40%	-0.04	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.0	29.1	15.7	23.5	2.0	36.1	135.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +11.0%

POR +5.5%

POR +3.5%

POR +28.7%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	17.6	15.7	15.3	107.0	100.0	106.0
season	16.7	15.0		108.8	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.1	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	18.1	21.6	17.8	17.6
OKC	13.4	17.1	17.5	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	58	55	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-3	11	17.7	17.3	0.44	16.7	14.1	2.58
Brandon Roy	72	73	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-4	13	17.5	18.0	-0.50	15.3	18.1	-2.88
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	2	1	17.8	16.6	1.19	16.5	12.2	4.26
Nicolas Batum	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	2	1	17.7	17.2	0.56	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Marcus Camby	61	63	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	-4	13	17.1	18.8	-1.66	15.4	16.5	-1.13
Juwan Howard	39	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	9	-13	17.9	17.3	0.58	15.2	16.1	-0.94
Martell Webster	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	3	-1	17.5	17.6	-0.06	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Jerryd Bayless	20	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	6	-7	16.6	17.9	-1.28	15.6	15.8	-0.22
Rudy Fernandez	25	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	9	-13	18.0	17.4	0.59	15.6	15.8	-0.19

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	34	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-7	9	15.9	15.6	0.26	17.6	17.6	0.04
Eric Maynor	31	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-5	5	15.6	15.8	-0.12	17.7	17.5	0.23
James Harden	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-3	1	14.2	16.6	-2.33	17.1	17.8	-0.71
Nenad Krstic	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	0	-5	15.8	15.7	0.16	17.3	17.8	-0.48
Serge Ibaka	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-5	5	15.5	16.0	-0.43	17.4	17.8	-0.36
Jeff Green	70	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-8	11	16.8	11.4	5.43	18.2	15.1	3.14
Russell Westbrook	56	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	0	-5	15.8	15.6	0.12	17.5	17.7	-0.23
Thabo Sefolosha	50	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	4	-13	16.0	15.4	0.60	17.5	17.7	-0.24
Kevin Durant	79	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	4	-13	15.2	20.7	-5.53	17.5	18.5	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.22,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.16,0	92.2%
NOH 89, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.08,0	92.1%
CHA 92, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0	91.9%