NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	7.1 [399]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): +23.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	1.6 [452]		LVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): -17.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.23	0.08	0.15	-0.00	17	65%	0.28	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Acie Earl	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	62%	0.09	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Jimmy Oliver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Walt Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	19	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	11	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	18	40%	-0.09	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	14	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	13	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	20	53%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.04
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	15	50%	0.01	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Dontonio Wingfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	-0.00	7	56%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	0.3	26.1	16.8	22.0	1.7	32.7	123.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +45.0%

POR -17.8%

TOR +0.1%

TOR +15.6%

TOR +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	17.7	15.1	15.6	106.8	104.5	104.4
season	16.1	15.5		102.2	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		101.6	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.2	18.4	18.5	19.9	17.7
POR	17.1	13.5	14.9	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	68	69	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-10	22	16.5	21.5	-4.96	15.1	14.8	0.27
Popeye Jones	76	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-6	14	17.5	19.0	-1.54	15.1	14.6	0.55
Doug Christie	73	74	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.47	2	0	2	17.9	16.5	1.37	15.2	14.1	1.17
Walt Williams	70	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-9	20	17.4	18.7	-1.32	15.7	12.6	3.16
Damon Stoudamire	76	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	-1	4	17.7	17.7	-0.09	14.8	16.6	-1.83
Carlos Rogers	46	45	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.47	-15	17	-32	19.0	16.3	2.69	13.7	16.4	-2.71
Acie Earl	21	22	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	7	-12	19.6	17.1	2.56	14.2	15.3	-1.17
Jimmy Oliver	10	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	8	-14	17.2	17.7	-0.53	17.9	14.7	3.21

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	21	22	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.14	13	-15	28	12.3	15.9	-3.64	18.9	17.3	1.59
Jermaine O'Neal	13	14	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-9	16	11.6	15.7	-4.04	17.3	17.7	-0.46
Chris Dudley	34	34	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.15	9	-11	20	14.4	15.4	-1.00	17.7	17.6	0.11
Dontonio Wingfield	41	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.49	17	-19	36	14.2	15.8	-1.52	18.9	16.6	2.30
Mitchell Butler	5	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	1	-4	17.2	14.9	2.27	14.2	17.8	-3.58
Gary Trent	47	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	17	-36	15.8	14.2	1.52	16.6	18.9	-2.30
Clifford Robinson	70	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	4	-10	15.5	13.2	2.38	17.9	16.6	1.33
Kenny Anderson	81	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	5	-12	15.0	15.1	-0.09	17.2	22.6	-5.32
Arvydas Sabonis	54	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	9	-20	15.4	14.4	1.00	17.6	17.7	-0.11
Isaiah Rider	74	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.39	-10	8	-18	15.9	10.9	4.99	17.8	17.1	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 115, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0	93.2%
SAC 91, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.21,0.17,0.26,0	92.7%
POR 92, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.22,0.09,0.08,0	92.2%