NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	6.7 [271]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +11.6%
Vancouver Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.1 [509]		LVP	Tony Massenburg (VAN): -15.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.01	10	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Williams	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.12	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	21	57%	0.07	6	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
J.R. Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	4	71%	0.07	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	16	59%	0.11	5	-0.20	7	100%	0.05
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,-0.15	-0.15	0.01	-0.17	-0.01	19	55%	0.02	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	15	46%	-0.09	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	24.2	15.7	23.2	2.5	36.7	129.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +41.8%

VAN -16.8%

VAN -7.4%

SAC +26.1%

SAC +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	VAN	NBA	SAC	VAN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.8	103.4	92.6	99.6
season	14.1	16.4		100.1	95.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.3	17.6	14.7	17.6	15.8
VAN	17.2	14.4	16.5	14.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	76	83	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-6	15	15.1	20.2	-5.10	15.8	15.4	0.34
Chris Webber	83	89	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-2	7	15.8	15.8	-0.04	15.8	14.8	0.94
Vlade Divac	58	67	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-6	15	14.8	17.6	-2.79	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Vernon Maxwell	50	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	4	-5	17.4	13.6	3.89	14.6	17.2	-2.65
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	39	42	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	-2	7	13.2	17.8	-4.59	16.9	14.8	2.13
Corliss Williamson	48	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	-6	15	13.8	18.1	-4.38	16.4	14.9	1.52
Peja Stojakovic	39	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	9	-15	18.6	13.5	5.13	14.9	16.4	-1.52
Lawrence Funderburke	35	33	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.28	-9	12	-21	17.3	14.7	2.63	16.0	15.6	0.39
Jon Barry	12	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	9	-15	20.2	15.1	5.10	15.4	15.8	-0.34

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Dehere	35	32	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.16	14	-17	31	14.5	16.4	-1.90	17.2	14.9	2.34
DeJuan Wheat	23	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-10	17	16.1	15.6	0.55	18.4	14.8	3.65
Pete Chilcutt	32	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-11	19	14.7	16.2	-1.50	16.7	15.3	1.47
J.R. Henderson	6	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	4	-11	15.7	15.7	-0.05	12.2	16.0	-3.86
Michael Smith	53	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-8	13	14.4	17.4	-2.94	16.8	14.4	2.39
Cherokee Parks	38	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	8	-19	17.9	14.2	3.68	13.6	17.2	-3.59
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	89	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-7	11	15.7	15.7	0.05	16.0	12.2	3.86
Tony Massenburg	67	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	5	-13	16.0	15.1	0.86	15.7	15.9	-0.25
Mike Bibby	72	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	7	-17	15.6	16.1	-0.55	14.8	18.4	-3.65
Felipe Lopez	60	56	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.25	-17	14	-31	16.4	14.5	1.90	14.9	17.2	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.21,0.17,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, HOU 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0	92.8%
TOR 94, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.16,0	92.7%
PHI 108, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.01,0	92.2%