NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	7.1 [442]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHI): +18.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.1 [630]		LVP	Rodney Hood (CLE): -17.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.17	0.02	9	41%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.04	9	74%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.04
Ben Simmons	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	10	64%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	-0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	13	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.06
Robert Covington	-0.09	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	9	56%	-0.05	0	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	6	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	3	50%	0.14	0	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	18	55%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	46%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.07	0.06	9	33%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	3.5	27.5	16.6	25.2	2.8	0.0	104.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +28.6%

CLE -4.8%

PHI +23.8%

CLE -0.5%

PHI +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.7	16.2	14.7	111.3	101.0	107.5
season	13.9	14.8		108.1	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.5	12.4	16.4	12.8	13.7
CLE	16.5	17.1	17.0	14.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	59	59	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-7	25	13.5	14.0	-0.54	16.7	15.4	1.23
JJ Redick	55	57	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.12	17	-6	23	13.4	14.0	-0.54	17.3	14.6	2.73
Joel Embiid	67	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-5	21	13.9	13.2	0.68	16.4	15.6	0.81
Ben Simmons	68	67	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	0	11	13.1	15.1	-2.04	15.5	17.7	-2.15
Robert Covington	84	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	2	7	13.8	12.8	0.95	15.8	18.2	-2.37
Marco Belinelli	50	46	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	15	-19	13.9	13.5	0.39	15.6	16.8	-1.19
T.J. McConnell	36	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	11	-11	13.9	13.6	0.30	17.2	15.6	1.66
Amir Johnson	29	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	16	-21	13.7	13.7	-0.02	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Ersan Ilyasova	37	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	18	-25	14.4	13.2	1.15	15.4	16.7	-1.23

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	42	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	16.5	16.0	0.47	14.4	13.1	1.30
Larry Nance Jr.	54	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-12	13	14.9	17.8	-2.84	13.7	13.7	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	54	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-12	13	14.9	17.8	-2.84	13.9	13.4	0.55
Kyle Korver	58	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-10	9	15.0	18.0	-2.96	13.6	13.8	-0.15
George Hill	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-4	-3	17.8	14.8	2.99	13.4	13.9	-0.49
Cedi Osman	30	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	17.6	15.5	2.10	13.1	14.0	-0.89
LeBron James	79	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	-3	-5	16.2	16.2	-0.06	13.7	13.6	0.05
Tristan Thompson	42	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	1	-13	17.8	14.9	2.84	13.7	13.7	0.02
Rodney Hood	78	79	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.20	-20	9	-29	16.3	15.6	0.71	13.7	13.5	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 103, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.02,0	93.4%
CLE 111, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.0%
MEM 80, UTA 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.09,0	93.0%