NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	89		Excitement	6.5 [494]		MVP	Jason Smith (NOH): +23.2%
Chicago Bulls	82		Comeback	2.2 [146]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (CHI): -16.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.23	0.14	0.12	0.03	5	89%	0.23	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Robin Lopez	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	10	67%	0.21	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	18	45%	0.05	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	13	44%	-0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	12	35%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.01	7	67%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.05	-0.01	10	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	15	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	10	70%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	12	39%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.08	0.04	16	44%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	8	12%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	10	20%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	30.5	14.6	23.3	2.6	43.2	141.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +80.3%

CHI -6.9%

CHI -4.1%

CHI -19.2%

CHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHI	NBA	NOH	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.4	95.7	91.1	104.1
season	16.3	16.6		103.9	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		102.3	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.1	18.7	16.9	13.7	15.8
CHI	14.8	12.6	16.6	19.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	71	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.21	9	-2	11	15.5	16.6	-1.10	15.4	16.6	-1.23
Ryan Anderson	80	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-1	9	16.5	11.7	4.77	15.8	15.0	0.78
Al-Farouq Aminu	56	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	1	5	14.4	17.9	-3.44	15.2	16.4	-1.14
Robin Lopez	68	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-4	15	15.0	17.9	-2.91	14.3	19.2	-4.82
Austin Rivers	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-2	11	16.0	15.3	0.65	15.1	17.2	-2.11
Roger Mason Jr.	39	37	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	8	-9	15.4	16.1	-0.71	17.2	14.6	2.66
Jason Smith	28	27	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.36	-4	11	-15	14.9	16.2	-1.29	18.8	14.3	4.43
Darius Miller	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	3	1	17.7	14.9	2.82	17.6	14.7	2.90
Lance Thomas	8	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	10	-13	22.9	15.1	7.75	16.5	15.6	0.90
Xavier Henry	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	10	-13	18.8	15.6	3.25	10.0	16.1	-6.08
Brian Roberts	12	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	8	-9	15.0	15.9	-0.91	14.6	15.8	-1.19

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	14	13	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-6	5	10.8	16.6	-5.79	15.3	15.9	-0.57
Vladimir Radmanovic	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-8	9	8.0	15.9	-7.94	0.7	16.3	-15.63
Nazr Mohammed	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-5	3	18.7	15.5	3.20	23.7	15.3	8.41
Carlos Boozer	49	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-5	3	14.9	16.6	-1.71	16.2	15.3	0.84
Marco Belinelli	55	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.30	5	-12	17	15.4	16.1	-0.62	15.8	15.8	-0.06
Nate Robinson	45	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-7	7	15.7	15.6	0.11	16.3	15.4	0.91
Taj Gibson	37	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-8	9	17.4	14.5	2.84	16.1	15.6	0.44
Kirk Hinrich	45	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	0	-7	15.6	15.7	-0.11	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Richard Hamilton	35	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-12	5	-17	16.1	15.4	0.62	15.8	15.8	0.06
Joakim Noah	81	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	15.7	15.1	0.63	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Luol Deng	80	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	5	-17	16.2	11.2	5.04	15.5	18.1	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.05,0	94.2%
PHX 99, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.02,0	93.6%
IND 96, BKN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.29,0.06,0.08,0	93.5%