NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	6.7 [466]		MVP	Brian Cardinal (GSW): +17.0%
Golden State Warriors	96		Comeback	1.9 [335]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (GSW): -19.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	7	75%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.01	17	58%	0.16	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.01	11	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	21	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.01	7	81%	0.17	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	13	63%	0.13	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	12	42%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.06
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	16	37%	-0.13	2	-0.07	3	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	26.6	15.7	24.7	2.5	33.3	127.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +26.5%

GSW -3.4%

PHX +8.6%

PHX +16.1%

PHX +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	16.1	15.7	106.5	104.3	100.5
season	14.6	16.1		99.6	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.9		101.6	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	14.8	14.7	17.3	15.0
GSW	15.1	16.5	16.7	16.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	83	82	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	-2	7	15.2	13.8	1.38	16.4	13.8	2.59
Stephon Marbury	88	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	0	3	15.0	15.6	-0.60	15.9	20.4	-4.54
Casey Jacobsen	37	39	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.41	4	-1	5	15.5	14.7	0.75	16.0	16.2	-0.14
Shawn Marion	71	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	-2	7	14.8	15.8	-1.03	16.3	15.2	1.10
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.29	1	2	-1	15.5	13.0	2.49	16.0	16.5	-0.53
Jake Voskuhl	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	0	3	14.6	15.6	-1.08	16.6	15.5	1.12
Jahidi White	15	15	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	-3	9	15.7	14.9	0.76	16.1	16.1	-0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	31	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	11	-19	15.0	15.0	-0.05	15.8	16.3	-0.46
Tom Gugliotta	11	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	7	-11	12.5	15.4	-2.82	13.8	16.4	-2.59

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	42	42	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.32	18	-21	39	15.7	16.4	-0.68	15.6	14.6	0.98
Speedy Claxton	21	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.34	8	-11	19	15.0	16.4	-1.44	17.6	14.3	3.34
Calbert Cheaney	68	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.48	11	-14	25	15.9	16.8	-0.92	15.2	14.6	0.54
Erick Dampier	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	6	-15	16.3	15.8	0.46	14.4	16.3	-1.89
Mike Dunleavy	65	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-2	1	16.4	15.4	0.94	15.6	13.7	1.89
Clifford Robinson	60	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	11	-25	15.9	16.5	-0.60	15.4	14.4	1.02
Nick Van Exel	70	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	7	-17	15.7	17.4	-1.65	14.0	18.8	-4.80
Jason Richardson	72	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	15	-33	17.1	12.7	4.36	14.6	16.5	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.05,0	93.7%
NOH 89, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.08,0	93.6%
SAS 77, NYK 67	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.02,0,0	93.0%