NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	6.4 [545]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +24.4%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	2.0 [658]		LVP	CJ Miles (IND): -14.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.13	0.02	9	76%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04	-0.02	0.07	0.01	13	59%	0.14	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	57%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	38%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Rodney Stuckey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	6	43%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Paul George	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	57%	0.09	5	-0.14	9	100%	0.06
CJ Miles	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	10	15%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.03	13	71%	0.19	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	14	57%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	14	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	12	25%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	25.1	14.7	26.2	2.7	37.3	129.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.7%

IND +3.9%

IND +7.4%

IND +11.5%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	14.9	101.1	91.5	105.1
season	14.6	14.6		103.2	103.6
opponent	14.9	14.9		105.2	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	18.0	11.8	15.9	14.8
ORL	14.5	15.5	15.9	17.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	71	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-8	25	14.0	17.4	-3.45	15.8	15.8	0.03
Ian Mahinmi	46	45	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.02	22	-13	35	14.1	15.5	-1.37	16.2	15.4	0.84
Lavoy Allen	49	51	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.04	19	-10	29	14.2	15.6	-1.39	16.7	14.7	2.05
Monta Ellis	72	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-7	23	13.4	19.5	-6.10	15.4	17.4	-2.02
George Hill	65	64	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-5	19	15.0	14.3	0.70	16.7	13.9	2.75
Myles Turner	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	11	-13	14.4	15.0	-0.64	14.6	16.3	-1.65
Rodney Stuckey	51	51	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.27	-12	21	-33	16.6	12.8	3.80	15.4	16.3	-1.00
CJ Miles	45	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.20	-10	19	-29	15.6	14.2	1.39	14.7	16.7	-2.05
Glenn Robinson	23	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	17	-25	17.4	14.0	3.45	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Jordan Hill	21	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	20	-31	17.0	14.2	2.73	16.4	15.6	0.72

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	16	16	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.07	8	-17	25	14.4	16.1	-1.65	16.6	14.5	2.09
Mario Hezonja	40	40	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.11	8	-17	25	15.1	16.3	-1.15	15.9	14.0	1.95
Shabazz Napier	15	16	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-13	17	15.1	15.9	-0.88	15.3	14.7	0.58
Aaron Gordon	32	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-12	15	15.3	16.0	-0.70	16.4	14.1	2.28
Andrew Nicholson	44	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-14	19	15.7	15.9	-0.24	16.0	13.8	2.20
Dewayne Dedmon	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	16.1	15.7	0.39	14.7	14.8	-0.14
Channing Frye	29	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	2	-13	16.6	15.5	1.07	12.4	16.0	-3.62
Tobias Harris	68	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	5	-19	15.6	16.3	-0.64	14.3	16.2	-1.83
Nikola Vucevic	64	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.11	-14	5	-19	16.1	15.2	0.84	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Victor Oladipo	79	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.16	-13	4	-17	15.9	15.1	0.88	14.7	15.3	-0.58
Evan Fournier	69	69	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.20	-18	9	-27	16.3	14.3	2.03	14.3	16.2	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 89, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.08,0	94.2%
PHX 99, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.02,0	93.7%
SAS 77, NYK 67	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.02,0,0	93.1%