NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	6.7 [484]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +17.8%
Brooklyn Nets	91		Comeback	1.4 [598]		LVP	Jason Terry (BKN): -14.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	14	73%	0.28	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
CJ Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Solomon Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	17	42%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
George Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
David West	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	0.01	-0.04	0.05	15	53%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	10	77%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	80%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	14	57%	0.08	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.11	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	0.04	13	53%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	24.4	15.4	26.2	2.5	38.5	134.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +22.1%

IND +2.9%

IND +15.4%

IND +10.7%

BKN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	17.6	14.3	15.1	105.5	102.2	105.2
season	15.8	15.7		102.7	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	21.2	16.3	16.1	17.3	17.6
BKN	14.0	15.6	15.9	12.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	77	75	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-5	15	17.2	20.1	-2.89	14.4	14.2	0.15
Paul George	68	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	0	5	17.8	17.0	0.84	13.9	15.7	-1.83
David West	62	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-4	13	17.3	18.3	-1.05	14.7	13.6	1.11
George Hill	61	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	-3	11	16.9	19.1	-2.25	14.7	13.6	1.11
Roy Hibbert	61	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	1	3	17.8	17.2	0.59	13.6	15.9	-2.26
Orlando Johnson	26	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	2	1	17.4	17.7	-0.34	15.8	13.7	2.09
Ian Mahinmi	30	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	4	-3	17.2	17.8	-0.59	15.9	13.6	2.26
CJ Watson	30	31	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	8	-11	19.1	16.9	2.25	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Luis Scola	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	9	-13	18.3	17.3	1.05	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Solomon Hill	11	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	13	-21	20.0	17.3	2.70	13.7	14.4	-0.77

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	36	34	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-11	17	14.7	14.1	0.65	18.6	17.1	1.54
Alan Anderson	31	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.25	7	-12	19	14.4	14.3	0.03	19.2	16.9	2.35
Shaun Livingston	27	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-8	11	15.0	14.0	0.95	18.0	17.5	0.55
Mason Plumlee	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-2	-1	16.2	13.5	2.79	16.7	18.0	-1.27
Brook Lopez	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-5	5	13.6	15.8	-2.16	18.5	15.8	2.67
Jason Terry	31	32	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	14.2	14.4	-0.27	16.5	18.3	-1.79
Joe Johnson	59	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-2	-1	14.2	14.5	-0.30	17.8	17.4	0.39
Deron Williams	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	3	-11	14.0	15.0	-0.95	17.5	18.0	-0.55
Paul Pierce	61	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.17	-12	7	-19	14.2	14.6	-0.45	16.9	19.4	-2.48
Kevin Garnett	50	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	6	-17	14.2	14.5	-0.27	17.0	18.5	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.29,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 89, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.08,0	93.5%
PHI 81, TOR 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0	93.1%
WAS 117, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.38,0.35,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.1%