NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	81		Excitement	5.4 [720]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +7.9%
Toronto Raptors	75		Comeback	1.6 [383]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -12.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.01	16	45%	0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	16	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	13	64%	0.12	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	11	53%	-0.04	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	10	46%	-0.00	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	20	47%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	479.4	2.4	32.6	16.4	24.4	2.8	33.2	591.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.9%

PHI +3.0%

PHI +9.7%

PHI +6.6%

TOR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	17.5	17.4	15.7	98.8	90.4	100.5
season	16.2	16.8		96.7	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.4	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.5	18.3	17.1	18.2	17.5
TOR	16.2	18.6	20.8	14.5	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	62	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-6	18	17.7	16.9	0.74	18.3	14.3	3.98
Aaron McKie	71	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	0	6	17.4	18.0	-0.56	17.2	18.9	-1.74
Eric Snow	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	1	4	17.7	16.1	1.57	17.5	16.8	0.68
Kenny Thomas	68	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	2	2	17.5	17.6	-0.07	16.6	20.6	-4.09
John Salmons	45	44	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	7	-8	17.8	17.2	0.54	17.1	17.8	-0.70
Samuel Dalembert	35	36	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-2	10	17.0	17.9	-0.94	19.7	15.6	4.15
Kyle Korver	10	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	2	2	18.4	17.4	1.01	16.4	17.6	-1.19
Amal McCaskill	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	10	-14	18.2	17.1	1.12	16.8	17.7	-0.92
Willie Green	18	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	10	-14	15.3	18.1	-2.79	15.8	17.9	-2.10

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	20	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-7	8	14.2	18.4	-4.15	16.4	17.9	-1.52
Alvin Williams	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	2	-10	19.1	16.3	2.76	16.7	18.0	-1.30
Jerome Williams	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	2	-10	18.5	16.3	2.18	16.9	18.1	-1.20
Michael Curry	33	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	2	-10	19.5	16.0	3.57	18.5	16.9	1.67
Lamond Murray	47	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-8	10	16.4	18.6	-2.19	17.1	18.0	-0.90
Chris Bosh	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.43	4	-10	14	16.4	20.0	-3.60	18.0	16.2	1.76
Milt Palacio	51	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-8	10	16.3	19.1	-2.76	18.0	16.7	1.30
Vince Carter	66	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	2	-10	18.0	15.2	2.72	17.4	17.9	-0.47
Antonio Davis	65	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	1	-8	17.6	16.7	0.93	17.7	16.9	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, MEM 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
TOR 87, MIL 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.41,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.04,0,0,0	93.4%
ORL 104, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.01,0	93.4%