NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	117		Excitement	6.1 [602]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +34.3%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	1.6 [287]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -11.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.34	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.22	0.10	-0.03	15	83%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	52%	0.05	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	68%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Nene	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.01	0.07	21	57%	0.11	4	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	8	100%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	17	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	9	62%	0.05	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	32%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	27.4	14.7	23.3	2.3	27.1	122.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.6%

ATL -5.6%

WAS +21.8%

WAS +13.3%

ATL -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	14.9	119.4	106.2	105.1
season	13.8	14.2		104.1	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.1		100.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	12.8	14.6	16.3	14.5
ATL	13.8	16.0	15.4	15.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	67	67	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.07	25	-10	35	14.8	13.7	1.13	16.5	12.3	4.17
Marcin Gortat	62	59	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	-4	23	15.3	13.1	2.16	14.8	15.9	-1.18
Markieff Morris	53	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-3	21	15.5	13.2	2.28	15.0	15.5	-0.56
John Wall	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	1	13	15.1	12.7	2.49	14.7	16.8	-2.10
Otto Porter	75	72	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	3	9	14.7	13.6	1.14	14.3	18.0	-3.71
Garrett Temple	52	50	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	19	-23	13.8	15.3	-1.47	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Ramon Sessions	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	17	-19	12.7	15.1	-2.49	16.8	14.6	2.19
Jared Dudley	45	44	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	18	-21	13.2	15.5	-2.28	15.5	15.0	0.56
Nene	36	37	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	19	-23	13.1	15.3	-2.16	15.9	14.8	1.18
Kelly Oubre	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	10.5	14.6	-4.06	8.5	15.4	-6.86

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	51	52	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-17	19	14.9	15.6	-0.72	15.0	13.9	1.03
Mike Muscala	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	8.5	15.4	-6.86	10.5	14.6	-4.06
Dennis Schroder	36	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	15.0	15.3	-0.35	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Kris Humphries	11	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-13	11	13.4	15.5	-2.10	15.4	14.3	1.07
Thabo Sefolosha	58	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-11	7	14.9	15.7	-0.77	15.1	13.5	1.61
Mike Scott	49	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-10	5	15.7	14.8	0.89	14.4	14.6	-0.20
Al Horford	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-3	-9	15.2	15.2	0.05	14.1	15.5	-1.35
Paul Millsap	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	15.4	15.0	0.38	14.8	14.1	0.71
Kyle Korver	38	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-4	-7	15.8	14.9	0.90	13.6	15.1	-1.53
Jeff Teague	63	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	5	-25	15.2	15.3	-0.13	14.6	14.2	0.39
Kent Bazemore	43	43	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	2	-19	15.9	14.7	1.16	14.0	14.8	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.38,0.35,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.18,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
SAS 103, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.1%
IND 96, BKN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.29,0.06,0.08,0	93.1%