inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 103 Excitement6.7 [447] MVPNicolas Batum (POR): +29.6%
Memphis Grizzlies 93 Comeback6.1 [214] LVPO.J. Mayo (MEM): -18.9%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nicolas Batum0.300,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.30.160.180.041184%0.342-0.043100%0.03
Brandon Roy0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.110.040.080.011856%0.203-0.099100%0.05
LaMarcus Aldridge0.070,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.001157%0.0700.001100%0.00
Dante Cunningham0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002100%0.0600.001100%0.00
Rudy Fernandez0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.03736%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00853%0.032-0.041100%0.00
Martell Webster-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01737%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Andre Miller-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.02-0.030.011150%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Marcus Camby-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.02633%-0.023-0.0600%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.120.130.021365%0.261-0.028100%0.08
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.040.001060%0.122-0.04560%-0.01
Sam Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01550%0.0400.002100%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011656%0.084-0.092100%0.01
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00642%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.100.02872%0.107-0.25250%-0.01
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.19-0.19-0.15-0.04-0.011132%-0.084-0.10650%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.330.10.226.42.641.2127.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +26.2%
MEM -6.0%
MEM -2.3%
POR +30.9%
POR +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORMEMNBAPORMEMNBA
this game16.115.015.3112.0100.0106.0
season16.715.4108.8106.8
opponent15.015.6108.4106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.615.316.117.316.1
MEM14.416.715.913.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge78770.74-0.240.980.1819-92815.817.7-1.9115.711.83.90
Nicolas Batum64630.58-0.080.650.1415-52016.215.90.3515.314.60.65
Marcus Camby56570.56-0.060.620.2112-21416.914.91.9414.416.0-1.61
Jerryd Bayless36390.410.090.330.2173416.415.90.5713.416.3-2.90
Brandon Roy76760.330.170.150.2146-216.514.02.5414.617.1-2.54
Andre Miller55540.100.40-0.300.0137-416.116.2-0.1116.313.42.90
Martell Webster12140.080.42-0.34-0.0446-213.816.4-2.6016.814.72.05
Dante Cunningham750.060.44-0.38-0.0337-413.316.3-3.0416.415.01.43
Rudy Fernandez34340.000.50-0.490.03-111-1214.916.8-1.8314.615.3-0.67
Juwan Howard4246-0.360.86-1.230.11-1626-4216.515.80.7014.815.3-0.47

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Arthur1616-0.05-0.450.410.01-2-8615.714.90.7812.716.8-4.13
DeMarre Carroll67-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-8612.815.2-2.3611.916.4-4.59
Hamed Haddadi2218-0.14-0.360.23-0.08-2-8613.315.6-2.3216.616.00.57
Rudy Gay7976-0.20-0.300.09-0.231-111215.214.20.9817.310.46.93
Marcus Williams3029-0.22-0.280.06-0.05-6-4-214.315.4-1.0515.016.6-1.60
Mike Conley6363-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-4-6215.414.31.0516.615.01.60
Sam Young2929-0.32-0.18-0.130.01-111-1215.714.70.9912.317.8-5.53
Marc Gasol7073-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.18-6-4-215.812.82.9516.215.70.52
O.J. Mayo7373-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.14-100-1014.616.5-1.9216.514.42.11
Zach Randolph7776-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.22-8-2-614.915.7-0.7816.812.74.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.37,0.33,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 113, MIL 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.09,092.3%
MEM 99, UTA 860.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,090.9%
HOU 76, LAL 740.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.48,0.44,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.37,0.09,0.05,090.8%