NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	76		Excitement	7.3 [381]		MVP	David Wesley (HOU): +24.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	74		Comeback	5.7 [120]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -19.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.14	-0.01	10	75%	0.29	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.23	-0.04	0.25	-0.01	16	50%	0.44	5	-0.22	8	87%	0.02
Luther Head	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.01	13	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.03
Ryan Bowen	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.17	0.00	8	48%	0.19	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.11
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.08	0.01	13	63%	0.07	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.06
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	11	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	8%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	10	25%	-0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	5	25%	-0.03	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	26.4	15.8	29.2	2.6	33.0	136.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +83.2%

LAL -6.6%

LAL -30.1%

LAL -8.1%

HOU +11.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	18.5	16.6	15.6	91.6	91.4	104.4
season	16.1	15.6		99.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		104.3	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	19.0	18.3	15.7	21.9	18.5
LAL	15.3	15.1	17.0	19.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	59	59	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.40	16	-14	30	18.5	18.5	0.03	17.2	15.0	2.16
Juwan Howard	66	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-6	14	18.8	17.4	1.42	16.7	16.3	0.43
Dikembe Mutombo	57	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-11	24	17.7	20.2	-2.43	17.3	15.2	2.15
Luther Head	66	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-3	8	18.0	20.4	-2.35	17.4	13.9	3.44
Tracy McGrady	64	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	6	-10	18.5	18.3	0.28	15.1	21.2	-6.09
Moochie Norris	33	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	8	-14	18.8	18.3	0.56	18.3	15.5	2.85
Lonny Baxter	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	4	-6	16.9	18.7	-1.80	16.8	16.6	0.21
Ryan Bowen	27	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	7	-12	19.1	18.2	0.88	15.0	17.5	-2.53
Stromile Swift	33	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.32	-15	17	-32	19.7	17.7	2.02	15.2	17.6	-2.36

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	16	16	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-6	10	18.7	16.1	2.58	17.9	18.6	-0.75
Sasha Vujacic	36	36	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-7	12	19.2	14.6	4.64	18.6	18.4	0.13
Luke Walton	29	30	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.22	8	-10	18	19.7	14.9	4.73	18.8	18.3	0.50
Chris Mihm	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	3	-8	14.5	18.4	-3.87	18.7	18.3	0.40
Brian Cook	25	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	3	-8	14.8	17.4	-2.63	19.4	18.1	1.26
Devean George	48	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-4	6	16.9	16.2	0.63	17.8	19.6	-1.76
Kwame Brown	44	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.50	3	-5	8	18.4	14.5	3.87	18.3	18.7	-0.40
Lamar Odom	52	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	8	-18	14.9	19.7	-4.73	18.3	18.8	-0.50
Kobe Bryant	64	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.39	-5	3	-8	16.2	18.3	-2.12	18.7	17.7	0.98
Smush Parker	54	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	5	-12	15.4	19.0	-3.57	18.6	18.2	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.48,0.44,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.37,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 83, LAC 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.61,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.05,0	91.4%
IND 99, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.31,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.1,0.04,0.15,0	91.1%
CHI 105, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.07,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.31,0.07,0,0,0	90.9%