inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 105 Excitement6.2 [571] MVPDarius Songaila (CHI): +25.5%
Toronto Raptors 94 Comeback2.6 [239] LVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): -17.1%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darius Songaila0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.090.14-0.021169%0.261-0.004100%0.03
Chris Duhon0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.070.021170%0.171-0.021100%0.01
Luol Deng0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.050.01965%0.121-0.03250%-0.02
Ben Gordon0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00683%0.132-0.0700%0.00
Andres Nocioni0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.02375%0.081-0.031080%0.01
Othella Harrington0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.00467%0.071-0.024100%0.02
Jannero Pargo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.00-0.00-0.01275%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00567%0.094-0.10580%-0.01
Tyson Chandler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.00167%0.022-0.0710%-0.01
Kirk Hinrich-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.12-0.07-0.021254%0.098-0.2600%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.150.150.080.06-0.01679%0.1500.002100%0.01
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.001262%0.0900.0000%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.03-0.011747%0.0600.0000%0.00
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.000100%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Darrick Martin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.03-0.021651%0.133-0.131776%0.02
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.01383%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.001138%-0.052-0.044100%0.01
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.00650%0.015-0.1500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.02.629.315.625.12.529.2131.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +61.7%
CHI +3.0%
CHI +8.1%
TOR -21.9%
TOR -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHITORNBACHITORNBA
this game15.016.215.6114.1101.1104.4
season14.415.6102.6107.3
opponent15.416.1110.5102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.214.913.117.815.0
TOR14.517.816.216.416.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duhon67670.72-0.220.930.0722-113314.815.4-0.5915.318.5-3.19
Darius Songaila54540.59-0.090.670.1515-41914.915.1-0.1917.015.11.91
Luol Deng75750.56-0.060.630.0916-52115.014.60.3916.315.70.54
Tyson Chandler38380.54-0.040.590.0517-62313.815.8-1.9615.716.5-0.72
Kirk Hinrich69670.270.230.040.1256-115.214.21.0616.016.5-0.42
Michael Sweetney33350.100.40-0.300.13-112-1316.814.02.7915.816.4-0.53
Ben Gordon36380.040.46-0.410.16-415-1915.114.90.1417.515.22.26
Jannero Pargo1920-0.050.55-0.59-0.02-112-1313.215.4-2.2116.316.10.24
Othella Harrington2019-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-314-1714.315.1-0.7917.715.81.98
Andres Nocioni4952-0.190.69-0.880.13-1122-3315.314.50.8115.417.1-1.76

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrick Martin110.00-0.500.510.000-111118.016.11.860.015.1-15.13
Aaron Williams910-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-111119.815.84.0018.414.53.85
Jalen Rose1514-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-10919.915.44.5016.914.62.23
Rafael Araujo2321-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-6117.015.91.0614.415.1-0.70
Joey Graham4648-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-8516.415.90.4615.614.31.24
Charlie Villanueva1818-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-8513.216.9-3.6412.915.5-2.58
Mike James7473-0.25-0.250.01-0.16-3-8516.913.13.8415.811.64.20
Matt Bonner5251-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.22-3-8516.715.51.2015.214.70.43
Chris Bosh7978-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.12-8-3-516.016.9-0.8214.915.1-0.12
Jose Calderon7776-0.550.05-0.59-0.13-143-1715.320.3-5.0114.318.2-3.97
Morris Peterson7170-0.550.05-0.60-0.11-154-1915.119.6-4.5514.317.0-2.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.07,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.31,0.07,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 112, DAL 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,092.6%
TOR 92, NYK 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.05,092.4%
NOK 102, DEN 950.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.03,092.1%