NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	92		Excitement	7.1 [385]		MVP	Alan Anderson (TOR): +28.0%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	3.3 [86]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -39.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28	0.18	0.10	0.01	16	81%	0.35	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.12	0.07	0.02	5	100%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	11	62%	0.19	3	-0.11	10	100%	0.07
Amir Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25	-0.19	-0.05	0.01	21	24%	-0.22	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	0.00	4	112%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	6	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	17	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.03
Pablo Prigioni	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	13	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	9	53%	-0.02	4	-0.14	12	83%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.29,-0.33,-0.38,-0.38,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.28	-0.14	-0.03	24	23%	-0.30	4	-0.09	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.8	31.3	16.8	31.4	2.5	33.6	141.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +60.4%

TOR +3.2%

NYK -24.5%

TOR +4.6%

TOR +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	17.8	15.5	15.4	107.0	101.1	104.1
season	16.1	16.2		104.4	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	19.8	18.9	17.1	15.8	17.8
NYK	15.4	15.4	17.2	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	72	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-6	16	17.9	17.1	0.79	15.6	14.9	0.77
Alan Anderson	53	54	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-2	8	17.3	18.6	-1.30	15.8	15.1	0.67
Rudy Gay	73	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-2	8	17.5	19.5	-1.95	15.7	14.4	1.37
Amir Johnson	51	52	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-3	10	18.1	17.3	0.82	16.4	14.2	2.18
John Lucas III	41	40	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	5	-6	16.9	18.6	-1.72	16.1	15.0	1.05
Kyle Lowry	45	47	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	-1	6	18.6	16.9	1.72	15.0	16.1	-1.05
Andrea Bargnani	21	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	2	0	18.0	17.8	0.20	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Jonas Valanciunas	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	18.4	17.6	0.79	15.2	15.6	-0.35
Landry Fields	44	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	10	-16	17.8	17.8	-0.01	14.3	16.7	-2.45
Terrence Ross	6	7	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	15	-26	18.7	17.7	0.93	14.9	15.6	-0.71

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	62	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-9	14	14.9	17.1	-2.21	18.7	15.4	3.31
Steve Novak	21	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-7	10	17.6	14.8	2.72	15.9	18.5	-2.54
Jason Kidd	59	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-10	16	14.8	17.1	-2.31	17.4	18.6	-1.21
Pablo Prigioni	13	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	3	-10	16.6	15.3	1.30	15.5	18.1	-2.69
Carmelo Anthony	75	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-8	12	14.7	20.2	-5.50	17.9	17.4	0.45
Raymond Felton	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-7	10	15.1	17.9	-2.80	18.1	15.5	2.69
Iman Shumpert	38	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	6	-16	15.5	15.5	-0.01	19.0	16.9	2.15
Amar'e Stoudemire	31	29	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	8	-20	18.0	14.1	3.87	17.7	17.9	-0.22
J.R. Smith	61	60	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.34	-12	8	-20	16.1	14.2	1.87	17.1	19.3	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.47,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%
TOR 84, WAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0	92.8%
MEM 82, LAL 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.8%