NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	6.7 [518]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +16.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	72		Comeback	2.3 [258]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -31.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.00	10	71%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mike Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	5	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Dahntay Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	10	57%	0.05	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	6	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.04	0.01	18	35%	-0.11	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	13	59%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	54%	-0.02	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	8	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	10	50%	-0.10	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.09
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.26	-0.12	-0.06	16	27%	-0.21	4	-0.11	9	78%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	28.8	15.8	28.7	2.7	29.3	132.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +31.3%

MEM +1.9%

MEM +30.3%

LAL -14.4%

MEM +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	18.2	16.5	15.5	98.8	86.7	104.0
season	16.4	15.7		103.7	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.8	18.4	16.7	20.1	18.2
LAL	14.3	17.6	17.6	16.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	52	52	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	1	8	18.6	17.5	1.11	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Pau Gasol	66	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	7	-4	18.6	16.5	2.08	15.8	19.1	-3.29
Shane Battier	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	3	4	18.0	18.5	-0.43	16.3	16.9	-0.51
Earl Watson	34	32	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	3	4	17.5	18.6	-1.10	17.7	15.7	2.00
Mike Miller	37	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	4	2	19.0	17.5	1.43	15.9	17.0	-1.10
Jason Williams	50	52	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	4	2	18.6	17.5	1.16	15.4	18.3	-2.88
Stromile Swift	27	26	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	7	-4	20.1	17.2	2.86	17.9	15.9	1.99
Lorenzen Wright	35	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	8	-6	16.9	19.1	-2.29	16.3	16.7	-0.33
Dahntay Jones	29	28	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	7	-4	17.4	18.6	-1.23	18.5	15.5	2.99
Ryan Humphrey	30	32	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	6	-2	16.4	19.2	-2.84	17.3	16.0	1.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	53	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-11	12	15.1	19.0	-3.83	17.4	19.6	-2.22
Slava Medvedenko	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-8	6	26.6	15.6	10.98	21.6	17.9	3.70
Luke Walton	1	1	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-7	4	0.0	16.7	-16.72	19.0	18.2	0.83
Tierre Brown	21	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-9	8	19.0	15.7	3.26	20.0	17.5	2.48
Lamar Odom	51	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-11	12	17.0	15.8	1.15	19.5	15.9	3.62
Brian Cook	30	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	17.6	15.9	1.69	17.0	18.8	-1.87
Kobe Bryant	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-5	0	16.0	24.0	-7.96	18.2	18.5	-0.34
Caron Butler	64	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.14	-9	-1	-8	16.7	15.9	0.74	17.9	19.0	-1.08
Chucky Atkins	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	2	-14	15.4	19.9	-4.46	17.5	20.0	-2.50
Jumaine Jones	47	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	4	-18	16.7	16.3	0.38	18.2	18.2	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, OKC 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.04,0	93.9%
MIN 85, DEN 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	93.4%
SAS 99, OKC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0	93.3%