NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	7.5 [298]		MVP	Mickael Pietrus (ORL): +23.3%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	4.0 [330]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -15.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	-0.01	0.02	10	91%	0.21	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	14	66%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.05
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Anthony Parker	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	4	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jawad Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Mo Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	9	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
LeBron James	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	0.01	-0.14	0.02	25	53%	0.05	5	-0.20	12	67%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.11	0.00	6	100%	0.26	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.13	-0.01	9	52%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	15	51%	0.08	0	0.00	13	62%	-0.03
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	13	69%	0.21	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	12	54%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.0	34.0	16.8	34.0	2.8	36.2	153.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +57.5%

ORL +4.3%

CLE -24.0%

ORL +13.0%

CLE -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.3	15.3	103.3	111.0	106.0
season	16.1	15.4		109.5	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.0		101.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.7	15.0	15.7	17.3	16.1
ORL	14.6	15.0	16.4	15.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	25	24	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.07	5	-11	16	15.0	16.6	-1.55	16.4	15.0	1.40
Jawad Williams	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	17.0	15.9	1.19	14.1	15.7	-1.56
Antawn Jamison	59	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.44	10	-16	26	15.7	17.0	-1.31	16.4	13.3	3.11
JJ Hickson	25	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	5	-16	16.0	16.2	-0.18	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Anderson Varejao	40	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	0	-6	14.5	17.3	-2.80	16.0	14.9	1.07
Delonte West	43	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	4	-14	16.7	15.6	1.11	16.2	14.6	1.60
Shaquille O'Neal	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-7	8	16.9	14.9	1.98	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Anthony Parker	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-5	4	16.1	16.2	-0.16	14.5	16.4	-1.87
LeBron James	76	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	3	-12	16.1	16.4	-0.30	15.0	17.1	-2.16
Mo Williams	62	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	1	-8	16.8	14.7	2.12	14.8	16.5	-1.62

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	58	58	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-2	10	15.1	15.8	-0.70	17.0	14.6	2.45
Vince Carter	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-2	10	15.4	15.2	0.21	16.2	16.0	0.19
Dwight Howard	81	84	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-3	12	15.3	15.6	-0.29	16.3	14.2	2.06
Jameer Nelson	65	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	0	6	14.8	16.8	-2.00	16.8	14.7	2.09
Rashard Lewis	71	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	1	4	14.8	17.3	-2.51	17.0	13.4	3.58
Brandon Bass	20	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	5	-4	17.3	14.8	2.51	13.4	17.0	-3.58
Jason Williams	26	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	6	-6	16.8	14.8	2.00	14.7	16.8	-2.09
Marcin Gortat	10	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	9	-12	15.6	15.3	0.29	14.2	16.3	-2.06
JJ Redick	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	8	-10	15.2	15.4	-0.21	16.0	16.2	-0.19
Mickael Pietrus	33	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	8	-10	15.8	15.1	0.70	14.6	17.0	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.62,0.79,0.98,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 96, LAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.98,1	91.8%
MIL 93, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.72,1	91.2%
NYK 86, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.94,1,1	91.0%