NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	7.2 [370]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +40.7%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	3.9 [491]		LVP	Kostas Papanikolaou (HOU): -24.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Wear	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shane Larkin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	11	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	10	29%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	8	50%	-0.06	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.41	0.41	0.16	0.26	0.02	22	71%	0.55	5	-0.14	7	100%	0.04
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	12	54%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	8	39%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	5	-0.18	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	29.5	15.7	26.5	0.8	36.4	134.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.1%

HOU +2.6%

HOU +11.2%

NYK -1.6%

HOU +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.1	94.5	97.8	104.2
season	16.1	14.3		98.5	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		103.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	17.6	15.9	17.6	16.2
HOU	15.6	12.4	17.7	15.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	35	36	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.15	5	-10	15	15.9	16.3	-0.43	15.2	15.1	0.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.	29	30	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.10	2	-7	9	14.7	16.9	-2.13	14.4	15.5	-1.04
Samuel Dalembert	28	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-6	7	17.4	15.7	1.71	15.2	15.1	0.10
Jason Smith	21	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	0	-5	16.5	16.1	0.39	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Carmelo Anthony	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	1	-7	15.2	16.8	-1.67	15.0	15.2	-0.23
Quincy Acy	50	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	1	-7	16.1	16.3	-0.17	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Shane Larkin	43	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	18.0	14.6	3.37	14.0	16.1	-2.08
Travis Wear	30	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-4	3	17.4	15.6	1.83	15.9	14.7	1.22
Jose Calderon	46	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	15.7	16.6	-0.93	15.7	14.5	1.26
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-6	7	15.2	17.3	-2.12	15.2	15.1	0.12
Pablo Prigioni	31	32	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	16.4	16.1	0.27	16.0	14.7	1.26
Iman Shumpert	56	57	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.52	-6	1	-7	16.2	16.1	0.10	15.5	14.6	0.95

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donatas Motiejunas	62	60	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-6	17	14.8	15.8	-1.05	16.8	14.9	1.93
James Harden	75	72	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.47	7	-2	9	15.4	14.2	1.14	16.5	14.9	1.55
Francisco Garcia	45	43	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-4	13	15.3	15.0	0.25	16.3	16.0	0.33
Isaiah Canaan	51	51	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	-6	17	14.5	15.9	-1.44	16.8	15.3	1.52
Trevor Ariza	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	14.9	16.8	-1.94	16.3	15.1	1.21
Tarik Black	34	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.02	-1	6	-7	14.6	15.5	-0.92	16.7	15.9	0.82
Jason Terry	42	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	11	-17	15.9	14.5	1.44	15.3	16.8	-1.52
Joey Dorsey	25	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	10	-15	16.9	14.5	2.43	14.1	17.0	-2.89
Kostas Papanikolaou	50	50	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.07	-6	11	-17	15.0	15.3	-0.22	15.3	17.3	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 89, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	92.1%
SEA 106, NYK 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,1,1	91.9%
NOH 67, DEN 76	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.28,0.41,0.66,0.6,0.8,0.78,0.95,1,1	91.9%