NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	89		Excitement	7.9 [259]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (UTA): +12.3%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.9 [907]		LVP	Chris Crawford (ATL): -17.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	14	54%	-0.00	1	-0.01	9	67%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	4	55%	0.05	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	20	52%	0.01	3	-0.13	8	87%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	5	44%	-0.05	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Hanno Mottola	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	5	25%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Crawford	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	12	43%	-0.10	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	13	83%	0.21	1	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.2,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.09	-0.01	23	51%	0.15	6	-0.16	7	86%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	45%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	9	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.3	29.4	16.0	25.0	2.0	34.0	138.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.8%

ATL -1.6%

UTA +15.8%

UTA +16.1%

UTA +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.2	15.6	94.7	105.5	102.3
season	15.5	16.1		99.7	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.2		101.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	14.6	16.8	14.6	15.0
UTA	16.4	12.6	20.2	16.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	69	67	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-14	21	14.8	15.6	-0.81	16.2	16.1	0.08
Cal Bowdler	17	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-6	5	16.9	14.5	2.34	16.7	16.1	0.68
DerMarr Johnson	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-3	-1	15.6	14.8	0.79	15.1	16.4	-1.29
Chris Crawford	63	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	15.2	14.5	0.77	16.1	16.4	-0.37
Nazr Mohammed	76	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-7	7	14.7	16.0	-1.28	16.3	15.7	0.53
Hanno Mottola	46	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	14.3	15.6	-1.38	14.4	17.9	-3.44
Dion Glover	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	14.8	15.1	-0.26	15.7	16.5	-0.77
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	81	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-3	-1	14.7	16.6	-1.91	16.9	12.3	4.61
Emanual Davis	68	66	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.19	-20	13	-33	15.5	13.6	1.87	16.9	14.4	2.46

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	54	55	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-4	15	14.7	18.3	-3.56	14.7	15.3	-0.62
John Stockton	64	66	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-6	19	15.3	18.3	-3.05	14.8	15.4	-0.55
Andrei Kirilenko	33	35	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-2	11	13.5	17.7	-4.24	13.9	15.6	-1.63
Karl Malone	75	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	0	7	16.4	15.1	1.29	14.5	17.1	-2.55
Donyell Marshall	74	76	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.33	-3	10	-13	16.8	13.6	3.20	14.6	16.4	-1.76
John Starks	37	36	0.12	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	3	1	16.1	16.2	-0.09	16.1	14.2	1.90
John Amaechi	34	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	9	-11	16.5	16.0	0.45	15.8	14.5	1.31
Greg Ostertag	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	5	-3	18.0	15.4	2.62	15.6	14.7	0.89
Quincy Lewis	29	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	7	-7	17.8	15.4	2.41	15.7	14.6	1.04
John Crotty	27	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	13	-19	18.3	15.3	3.05	15.4	14.8	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.53,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.74,1	92.6%
CLE 88, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.55,0.79,0.86,0.96,1	92.2%
GSW 88, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.53,0.68,0.89,0.94,1,1	92.2%