NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	88		Excitement	7.5 [363]		MVP	Brian Cook (LAL): +12.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	2.4 [722]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -34.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	87%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	12	46%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Jason Richardson	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27	-0.15	-0.13	-0.00	23	42%	-0.13	4	-0.15	7	86%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	11	62%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Luke Walton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	13	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	20	59%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	11	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.09
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.36,-0.39,-0.46,-0.41,-0.41,-0.34,-0.34,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.27	-0.10	-0.03	12	32%	-0.08	8	-0.27	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	35.2	14.8	26.2	2.5	33.2	139.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +51.4%

GSW -15.6%

LAL +18.5%

GSW -1.6%

GSW -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	16.1	15.5	91.7	103.2	104.0
season	15.0	15.7		102.3	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		108.8	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.5	13.0	12.1	15.5	14.2
LAL	14.1	15.8	16.7	18.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	52	51	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-16	23	12.7	15.9	-3.22	15.4	17.1	-1.74
Dale Davis	39	37	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.07	0	-9	9	14.6	13.9	0.72	14.9	16.9	-1.98
Eduardo Najera	10	10	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-13	17	11.8	14.5	-2.67	10.6	16.8	-6.21
Adonal Foyle	19	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-6	3	15.5	13.9	1.67	16.8	16.0	0.87
Mickael Pietrus	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-2	-5	12.5	14.6	-2.08	18.3	15.6	2.70
Derek Fisher	38	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	15.1	13.6	1.56	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Speedy Claxton	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-5	1	13.6	15.1	-1.56	16.2	16.1	0.11
Troy Murphy	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-6	3	13.7	16.1	-2.42	16.3	15.5	0.83
Jason Richardson	81	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	14.3	13.7	0.62	15.6	18.9	-3.31
Clifford Robinson	45	43	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	1	-11	15.2	13.3	1.99	17.6	14.9	2.73
Calbert Cheaney	44	42	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.25	-16	7	-23	15.8	12.8	3.01	17.5	15.1	2.36

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	57	59	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	0	9	16.6	15.5	1.05	14.0	14.5	-0.53
Jumaine Jones	34	34	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.24	10	-1	11	17.8	15.2	2.62	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Lamar Odom	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	1	7	16.8	14.9	1.89	14.5	13.6	0.88
Chucky Atkins	57	58	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	15.9	16.5	-0.60	14.5	13.8	0.70
Kobe Bryant	84	86	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	3	3	15.9	18.1	-2.18	14.5	11.6	2.89
Tierre Brown	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	6	-3	16.7	15.8	0.85	13.5	14.7	-1.18
Luke Walton	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	10	-11	13.3	16.2	-2.91	12.0	14.3	-2.26
Caron Butler	77	79	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	6	-3	15.0	21.5	-6.57	13.8	16.2	-2.42
Vlade Divac	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	10	-11	21.8	15.8	5.97	18.0	14.0	4.02
Chris Mihm	55	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	9	-9	15.5	17.1	-1.59	14.4	13.8	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.53,0.68,0.89,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 89, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	92.2%
GSW 93, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.98,1	91.4%
NJN 97, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.77,0.95,1	91.4%