NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	7.8 [306]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	1.8 [781]		LVP	Eric Williams (NJN): -15.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.00	10	71%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.08	0.00	9	53%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	9	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Rodney Buford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	13	66%	0.15	6	-0.22	15	80%	-0.02
Alonzo Mourning	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.01	-0.12	0.00	15	53%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	2	62%	-0.05	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.15	-0.01	15	50%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.06
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	22	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.05
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	10	55%	0.00	3	-0.11	9	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	31.2	15.0	31.2	2.5	36.7	145.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +1.7%

CLE +25.4%

CLE +6.8%

CLE +11.7%

CLE +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.5	109.0	115.7	104.0
season	16.0	16.2		99.2	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.7	16.4	14.0	16.3	15.8
CLE	15.3	15.6	16.7	18.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	54	55	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-5	4	15.7	16.0	-0.31	15.9	17.5	-1.58
Jacque Vaughn	12	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-4	2	18.4	15.4	3.01	12.5	17.1	-4.56
Nenad Krstic	17	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-5	4	14.6	16.1	-1.44	14.4	17.1	-2.72
Aaron Williams	5	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	22.4	15.4	6.98	16.0	16.6	-0.59
Jason Collins	64	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-5	4	15.1	17.7	-2.66	16.9	15.6	1.33
Eric Williams	60	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-12	18	15.2	17.1	-1.97	17.1	15.4	1.74
Brian Scalabrine	25	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	2	-10	18.6	14.7	3.88	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Richard Jefferson	82	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-7	8	16.0	13.9	2.12	16.7	14.5	2.20
Rodney Buford	36	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	5	-16	15.9	15.8	0.13	15.8	17.1	-1.36
Alonzo Mourning	53	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-6	6	16.2	15.2	0.94	17.5	15.3	2.17
Jason Kidd	37	37	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.41	-9	3	-12	14.2	16.9	-2.68	17.6	15.8	1.83

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	44	44	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.47	10	-4	14	16.6	16.5	0.08	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Drew Gooden	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	1	4	16.2	18.3	-2.14	15.7	16.1	-0.39
LeBron James	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	16.9	10.0	6.86	15.9	15.0	0.86
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	2	2	16.4	16.9	-0.55	16.0	15.4	0.61
Jeff McInnis	78	78	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	2	2	15.7	22.5	-6.74	16.0	14.2	1.86
Lucious Harris	37	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.08	10	-4	14	16.6	16.5	0.17	15.9	15.8	0.13
Anderson Varejao	17	17	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	4	-2	19.8	15.8	3.97	14.9	16.0	-1.15
Robert Traylor	25	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	8	-10	16.5	16.6	-0.04	16.6	15.5	1.04
Ira Newble	24	26	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.01	-9	15	-24	17.2	16.3	0.96	14.7	16.3	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.85,0.84,0.84,1	92.2%
ATL 89, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	91.9%
PHI 81, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.99,1	91.7%