NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	81		Excitement	7.4 [326]		MVP	Marreese Speights (PHI): +15.0%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	2.4 [491]		LVP	Elton Brand (PHI): -22.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.05	0.00	9	79%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	10	59%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.03	16	62%	0.17	2	-0.07	7	57%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	13	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Lou Williams	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	10	30%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.01	12	57%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	19	57%	0.16	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	40%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	2	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	15	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	29.5	15.6	25.0	2.0	36.2	137.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +27.0%

PHI -3.5%

DET +14.8%

DET +10.4%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	18.2	15.3	93.1	102.3	106.0
season	15.1	16.8		104.2	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.8		109.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.6	15.1	14.8	14.1	15.2
DET	17.8	16.8	19.5	18.6	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	42	42	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.11	4	-11	15	15.5	14.8	0.66	18.9	17.5	1.43
Jason Smith	36	36	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.09	-2	-5	3	13.8	16.1	-2.31	18.0	18.3	-0.26
Jason Kapono	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-5	3	17.5	15.0	2.51	18.0	18.2	-0.16
Royal Ivey	15	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	15.7	15.0	0.69	19.3	17.9	1.42
Samuel Dalembert	27	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	15.7	14.9	0.79	19.2	17.8	1.40
Rodney Carney	23	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-7	7	14.9	15.3	-0.40	20.6	17.3	3.28
Lou Williams	59	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	14.8	16.0	-1.24	17.2	20.2	-3.01
Andre Iguodala	72	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	15.4	13.9	1.48	17.7	20.1	-2.40
Willie Green	41	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	2	-11	14.5	15.8	-1.32	19.3	17.2	2.12
Thaddeus Young	61	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-3	-1	15.2	15.0	0.28	17.5	19.8	-2.27
Elton Brand	53	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.41	-6	-1	-5	15.8	14.2	1.57	17.4	19.4	-1.95

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	67	68	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-3	13	18.1	18.5	-0.41	15.5	13.9	1.62
Will Bynum	49	48	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-2	11	19.3	16.6	2.64	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Charlie Villanueva	50	52	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-1	9	17.0	19.8	-2.80	15.5	14.7	0.84
Ben Wallace	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	3	1	17.5	19.3	-1.85	15.8	14.1	1.74
Rodney Stuckey	75	77	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	1	5	17.9	20.2	-2.33	15.0	16.3	-1.29
Kwame Brown	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	4	-1	19.3	17.5	1.85	14.1	15.8	-1.74
Jonas Jerebko	39	41	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	8	-9	17.3	18.9	-1.54	16.2	14.3	1.91
Jason Maxiell	36	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	8	-9	19.8	17.0	2.80	14.7	15.5	-0.84
Austin Daye	28	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	10	-13	18.4	18.1	0.31	14.2	15.6	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 114, ATL 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.35,0.46,0.62,0.89,0.84,0.84,1	92.6%
NYK 96, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.85,0.84,0.84,1	91.8%
HOU 107, SEA 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.41,0.33,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.74,1	91.7%