NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	9.1 [106]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (SEA): +53.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	110		Comeback	2.4 [594]		LVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): -26.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.45,0.38,0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	68%	0.38	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	13	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.03	20	64%	0.08	7	-0.16	2	100%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27	-0.15	-0.13	-0.01	13	29%	-0.18	2	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.53	0.53	0.07	0.46	-0.01	18	59%	0.56	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.08
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	6	78%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	4	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	63%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Chuck Person	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	24	46%	0.05	5	-0.20	8	87%	0.05
Greg Foster	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	14	50%	-0.05	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	62.8	2.0	29.4	15.6	29.2	1.8	41.0	181.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +9.7%

SEA +41.4%

HOU -8.9%

SEA +3.5%

SEA +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	15.1	13.6	15.2	107.0	108.9	101.7
season	15.4	14.9		102.4	103.5
opponent	15.4	14.6		102.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.2	15.2	14.2	14.8	15.1
SEA	13.3	14.1	14.6	12.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Drew	12	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-4	5	13.7	15.3	-1.61	14.8	13.4	1.38
Carlos Rogers	44	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-3	3	15.9	14.4	1.52	14.4	12.9	1.43
Kelvin Cato	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	0	-3	15.8	14.9	0.85	14.4	13.4	1.03
Walt Williams	45	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	0	-3	14.6	15.5	-0.83	13.9	13.4	0.51
Shandon Anderson	56	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	1	-5	15.5	14.6	0.91	14.1	12.9	1.16
Charles Barkley	70	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-7	11	14.7	16.1	-1.41	13.4	13.9	-0.51
Cuttino Mobley	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	15.4	14.6	0.76	13.4	13.8	-0.37
Steve Francis	88	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	1	-5	15.3	13.7	1.61	13.4	14.8	-1.38
Hakeem Olajuwon	68	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.45	-7	4	-11	14.8	15.7	-0.94	13.0	14.8	-1.83

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	67	67	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.52	10	-7	17	13.1	14.4	-1.29	15.1	15.0	0.07
Gary Payton	78	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-4	11	13.6	13.6	-0.03	14.6	16.6	-1.99
Horace Grant	84	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	0	3	13.5	14.1	-0.57	14.5	17.7	-3.22
Vernon Maxwell	63	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-4	11	13.8	13.2	0.56	15.5	14.4	1.11
Greg Foster	72	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	4	-5	13.3	14.2	-0.83	14.8	15.7	-0.81
Vladimir Stepania	28	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-1	5	14.1	13.4	0.72	16.4	14.6	1.82
Brent Barry	46	45	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	4	-5	13.9	13.3	0.60	14.5	15.5	-0.99
Chuck Person	19	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	5	-7	12.7	13.8	-1.11	17.1	14.6	2.44
Emanual Davis	26	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	13.6	13.6	-0.01	15.8	14.8	1.04
Rashard Lewis	22	23	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.17	-7	10	-17	14.9	13.2	1.69	15.2	15.0	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.41,0.33,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 81, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.99,1	91.7%
IND 87, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.84,1	91.0%
CHA 90, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.74,0.64,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.67,0.98,1	90.9%