NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	7.7 [280]		MVP	Lorenzen Wright (ATL): +15.1%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	1.6 [342]		LVP	Travis Best (IND): -21.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.08	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.08	-0.00	12	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	10	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	15	49%	-0.03	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.08
Travis Best	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.22	-0.10	-0.16	-0.04	7	28%	-0.09	1	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	17	59%	0.19	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	19	49%	0.00	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.02
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.04	-0.00	19	40%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	1.7	27.2	14.8	24.0	1.8	27.0	125.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.3%

IND -0.7%

ATL +15.1%

IND -1.4%

ATL +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.6	17.5	15.5	103.6	107.1	100.9
season	15.9	15.4		99.3	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		101.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	18.1	15.8	18.8	16.6
ATL	16.0	16.2	14.9	24.7	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	34	35	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.05	3	-7	10	17.1	16.2	0.91	19.1	16.3	2.75
Zan Tabak	11	11	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-7	10	16.3	16.7	-0.38	17.0	17.5	-0.54
Austin Croshere	35	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-8	12	16.1	17.0	-0.89	18.3	16.8	1.43
Sam Perkins	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-1	-2	20.1	16.1	3.96	15.3	17.8	-2.46
Travis Best	50	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.41	8	-12	20	16.0	17.6	-1.60	18.2	16.4	1.76
Jonathan Bender	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	5	-14	16.6	16.6	-0.01	16.3	18.0	-1.69
Jeff Foster	46	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	2	-8	16.0	17.3	-1.34	16.2	18.8	-2.53
Jermaine O'Neal	66	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.38	-6	2	-8	16.8	15.8	1.06	18.2	14.7	3.56
Jalen Rose	73	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	3	-10	16.7	16.3	0.38	17.5	17.0	0.54
Reggie Miller	70	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.44	-7	3	-10	16.8	15.9	0.90	16.5	22.0	-5.50

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roshown McLeod	68	67	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-7	18	17.7	16.7	0.96	16.7	16.1	0.69
Matt Maloney	60	58	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-6	16	17.5	17.5	-0.01	17.0	15.7	1.38
Dikembe Mutombo	69	70	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-3	10	17.5	17.4	0.12	17.3	13.4	3.90
Jason Terry	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-1	6	18.2	13.9	4.33	17.5	11.8	5.72
Lorenzen Wright	68	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	1	2	17.9	15.8	2.06	16.9	15.5	1.42
Cal Bowdler	3	2	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	0	4	14.7	17.6	-2.91	8.5	16.8	-8.30
Larry Robinson	24	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	7	-10	14.7	18.6	-3.91	13.9	17.6	-3.71
Hanno Mottola	30	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	10	-16	16.8	17.9	-1.09	14.9	17.5	-2.56
DerMarr Johnson	7	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	18.0	17.4	0.58	15.1	16.7	-1.60
Anthony Johnson	25	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	10	-16	17.5	17.5	0.01	15.7	17.0	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.84,1	91.7%
MIN 89, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.57,0.96,1	91.1%
ATL 82, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.58,1	91.0%