NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	93		Excitement	6.6 [465]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +16.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	99		Comeback	2.1 [610]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -19.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.15	0.05	0.04	22	64%	0.23	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Kent Bazemore	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.02	0.04	16	68%	0.15	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Andrew Bogut	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	3	87%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Draymond Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	8	30%	-0.11	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2	-0.17	-0.05	-0.02	13	35%	-0.03	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	8	85%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	14	67%	0.17	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.01	-0.00	6	92%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	13	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.04	-0.00	7	44%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	12	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	13	47%	0.04	2	-0.09	8	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	29.4	14.6	25.3	2.5	32.4	133.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +3.8%

MEM +12.5%

MEM +20.5%

MEM +9.2%

MEM +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	16.9	15.4	101.1	106.5	104.1
season	14.6	16.5		104.6	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.6	13.3	15.1	14.1	14.3
MEM	17.3	15.5	17.0	17.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	34	36	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-4	2	13.4	14.8	-1.35	13.9	18.7	-4.85
Richard Jefferson	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-4	2	16.7	13.9	2.77	15.7	17.0	-1.27
Charles Jenkins	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-4	2	15.9	14.0	1.97	13.4	17.5	-4.13
Festus Ezeli	2	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	14.0	14.3	-0.27	6.0	17.2	-11.22
Andris Biedrins	18	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-5	4	16.3	13.8	2.58	16.8	16.9	-0.09
Carl Landry	24	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-3	0	14.7	14.1	0.55	16.3	17.1	-0.71
Kent Bazemore	14	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	1	-8	13.9	14.3	-0.39	13.0	17.7	-4.66
Stephen Curry	76	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.33	2	-8	10	13.8	16.2	-2.41	17.8	12.6	5.23
Harrison Barnes	65	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-6	6	14.2	14.5	-0.36	17.8	14.6	3.27
Andrew Bogut	52	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-4	2	14.7	13.7	1.04	18.6	14.9	3.66
Klay Thompson	70	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	13.8	15.8	-2.05	17.3	15.7	1.61
David Lee	79	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	0	-6	14.1	15.5	-1.40	17.3	14.6	2.61

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	71	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-4	14	17.6	14.4	3.21	14.5	13.4	1.14
Marc Gasol	67	67	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	3	0	17.6	15.0	2.53	14.7	13.1	1.62
Tayshaun Prince	66	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.26	5	1	4	17.1	16.3	0.85	14.7	13.1	1.61
Zach Randolph	68	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	3	0	17.9	14.0	3.91	14.1	14.9	-0.81
Tony Allen	51	52	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	1	4	18.7	14.6	4.09	14.6	13.8	0.82
Austin Daye	37	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	4	-2	14.6	18.4	-3.76	13.3	14.8	-1.48
Darrell Arthur	34	33	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	2	2	15.1	17.9	-2.75	14.2	14.3	-0.03
Ed Davis	14	13	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	6	-6	15.3	17.1	-1.85	13.2	14.4	-1.20
Jerryd Bayless	57	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	8	-10	14.8	20.1	-5.35	13.6	15.3	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.91,1	92.5%
SAC 82, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.67,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.92,1	92.0%
NJN 92, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,1	91.6%