NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	7.3 [400]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +33.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	2.5 [725]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -17.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	19	59%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.03	-0.13	0.02	20	56%	-0.05	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.03
Eric Snow	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Drew Gooden	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	17	32%	-0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.11	0.21	-0.02	15	67%	0.33	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	5	87%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	19	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	9	22%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	30.4	20.4	23.4	3.3	33.7	137.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +45.7%

MIN +4.4%

MIN +3.4%

CLE -3.9%

MIN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	16.1	15.5	98.9	105.6	104.0
season	16.2	15.8		104.6	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.3		104.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.7	17.3	15.7	14.5	16.2
MIN	19.3	14.8	15.7	15.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	38	38	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-13	20	16.9	15.7	1.19	18.2	14.6	3.56
Robert Traylor	24	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	1	-8	17.4	15.8	1.59	15.6	16.3	-0.71
DeSagana Diop	5	6	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	2	-10	20.8	15.9	4.86	17.5	16.0	1.45
Lucious Harris	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	3	-12	15.6	16.7	-1.16	14.2	17.6	-3.41
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	84	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-8	10	15.9	20.8	-4.86	16.0	17.5	-1.45
Drew Gooden	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-8	10	15.9	17.6	-1.70	16.2	16.1	0.04
LeBron James	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-5	4	16.0	17.5	-1.53	16.5	13.9	2.60
Eric Snow	32	33	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	3	-12	16.8	15.9	0.89	15.7	16.4	-0.67
Jeff McInnis	76	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.34	-7	1	-8	16.1	16.6	-0.47	16.1	16.6	-0.50

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	57	57	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-5	16	14.7	18.7	-4.07	15.3	17.9	-2.64
Eddie Griffin	48	46	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-2	10	14.8	17.7	-2.89	15.7	16.7	-1.03
Latrell Sprewell	57	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	4	-2	17.3	14.1	3.25	16.1	16.4	-0.37
Troy Hudson	50	47	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.42	-2	8	-10	17.8	14.0	3.77	16.3	16.1	0.18
Kevin Garnett	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	4	-2	16.6	15.0	1.57	16.0	16.9	-0.94
Anthony Carter	39	42	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	-2	10	14.0	17.8	-3.77	16.1	16.3	-0.18
Michael Olowokandi	48	48	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	4	-2	16.5	15.7	0.77	16.1	16.4	-0.28
Fred Hoiberg	32	34	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	2	2	14.1	17.3	-3.25	16.4	16.1	0.37
Ervin Johnson	17	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	17.3	15.9	1.42	18.7	15.6	3.14
Trenton Hassell	32	32	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	11	-16	18.7	14.7	4.07	17.9	15.3	2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.55,0.79,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 89, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	92.2%
HOU 104, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.64,0.91,0.99,1	92.1%
PHI 82, SAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.53,0.89,0.97,1,1	92.0%