NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	6.5 [471]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +31.7%
San Antonio Spurs	89		Comeback	2.7 [712]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -18.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.02	12	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	63%	0.15	2	-0.08	8	75%	0.03
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	12	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Lou Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	8	15%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Andre Miller	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.09,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.11	0.23	0.02	10	71%	0.37	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.07
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.08	-0.03	14	58%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	13	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	13	45%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.8	29.2	21.6	32.2	2.4	30.6	145.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.7%

SAS +9.1%

SAS +12.2%

PHI -6.2%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	14.9	17.1	15.4	91.1	98.9	105.7
season	15.2	16.5		104.0	104.7
opponent	15.3	16.2		100.5	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	16.6	13.4	15.1	14.9
SAS	14.8	16.9	17.3	20.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	8	7	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-9	11	13.0	15.1	-2.06	15.4	17.3	-1.84
Jason Smith	34	32	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	-3	-1	15.7	14.4	1.33	17.2	17.1	0.10
Kevin Ollie	9	10	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-8	9	15.2	14.8	0.38	19.5	16.8	2.67
Willie Green	52	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-12	17	13.6	16.7	-3.08	16.6	17.9	-1.23
Samuel Dalembert	64	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-6	5	14.8	15.2	-0.39	17.7	15.5	2.21
Rodney Carney	22	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-2	-3	17.8	13.9	3.83	16.9	17.2	-0.35
Reggie Evans	58	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	14.5	15.5	-0.97	16.1	19.1	-3.01
Andre Miller	58	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-8	9	13.3	17.7	-4.31	16.9	17.6	-0.68
Thaddeus Young	36	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	3	-13	16.0	14.1	1.92	17.5	16.9	0.62
Andre Iguodala	67	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-4	1	14.7	15.3	-0.51	17.5	15.7	1.76
Lou Williams	42	41	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.30	-17	10	-27	16.6	13.4	3.18	17.5	16.8	0.67

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	36	38	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-8	23	15.6	18.1	-2.52	15.9	14.1	1.76
Manu Ginobili	56	58	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-1	9	16.6	18.1	-1.51	14.5	15.6	-1.16
Tony Parker	70	68	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	1	5	16.7	18.4	-1.71	14.4	16.2	-1.79
Tim Duncan	69	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	2	3	17.3	16.4	0.97	14.8	15.2	-0.40
Bruce Bowen	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	6	-5	18.7	14.8	3.88	15.1	14.6	0.43
Michael Finley	52	50	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	10	-13	17.8	16.2	1.58	14.9	14.8	0.05
Fabricio Oberto	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	7	-7	15.9	17.8	-1.84	15.6	14.5	1.16
Robert Horry	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	5	-3	16.5	17.3	-0.73	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Jeremy Richardson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	16.0	17.2	-1.16	10.0	15.0	-4.99
Jacque Vaughn	20	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	6	-5	18.4	16.7	1.71	16.2	14.4	1.79
Francisco Elson	33	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	4	-1	15.8	17.9	-2.15	14.1	15.4	-1.34
Matt Bonner	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	8	-9	22.4	16.5	5.91	15.2	14.8	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.53,0.89,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.55,0.79,0.86,0.96,1	92.0%
NOH 89, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.71,0.89,1,1	91.8%
TOR 82, PHX 90	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.94,1,1	91.7%