NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	89		Excitement	7.5 [335]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (NOH): +14.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Comeback	4.2 [372]		LVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): -22.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	44%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
DJ Mbenga	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	71%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	13	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	24	39%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	10	45%	-0.06	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.02	4	118%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.08	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.24,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.10	0.00	19	57%	0.26	8	-0.23	6	83%	0.05
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	22	46%	0.07	3	-0.11	13	92%	0.05
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	14	43%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	29.3	16.3	28.4	2.5	39.5	142.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -3.1%

OKC +30.8%

OKC +39.5%

NOH -18.1%

OKC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	OKC	NBA	NOH	OKC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	15.5	93.7	101.1	105.7
season	16.2	15.0		104.6	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		105.4	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.9	14.5	15.6	16.1	15.5
OKC	14.0	15.5	18.7	12.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	18	17	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-10	14	15.1	15.6	-0.59	18.1	14.2	3.88
Willie Green	34	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-2	-2	15.4	15.6	-0.19	17.9	13.3	4.62
Jason Smith	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-3	0	15.1	15.7	-0.64	18.1	13.5	4.65
Chris Paul	73	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-11	16	15.4	16.1	-0.78	14.0	17.8	-3.77
Jarrett Jack	22	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	5	-16	16.1	15.4	0.78	17.8	14.0	3.77
Emeka Okafor	67	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.35	3	-9	12	15.4	15.8	-0.35	13.3	18.4	-5.04
David West	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-6	6	15.7	15.0	0.70	14.1	17.1	-3.01
DJ Mbenga	25	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	6	-18	15.8	15.4	0.36	17.4	14.0	3.44
Marco Belinelli	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-5	4	15.6	15.3	0.29	12.9	18.8	-5.88
Trevor Ariza	75	75	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.45	-11	5	-16	15.6	15.2	0.43	14.5	16.5	-1.99

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	56	56	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.33	15	-9	24	16.7	12.4	4.27	15.8	15.1	0.69
Kevin Durant	80	81	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-3	12	14.2	19.4	-5.19	15.7	14.9	0.80
Thabo Sefolosha	58	60	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	2	2	13.1	18.0	-4.92	15.5	15.5	0.04
Russell Westbrook	74	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	4	-2	13.5	20.1	-6.56	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Jeff Green	83	85	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	9	-12	14.1	21.1	-6.97	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Nick Collison	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	-2	10	18.2	13.2	5.02	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Eric Maynor	20	19	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	2	2	20.1	13.5	6.56	15.6	15.5	0.05
James Harden	32	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	5	-4	17.8	13.5	4.31	14.8	15.9	-1.13
Nenad Krstic	35	36	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	16	-26	13.4	15.9	-2.49	15.6	15.5	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.71,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 103, CHI 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.78,0.98,1,1	92.1%
PHI 82, SAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.53,0.89,0.97,1,1	91.8%
CLE 83, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.72,0.84,0.73,1	91.6%