NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Excitement	8.3 [191]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +59.5%
Atlanta Hawks	87		Comeback	3.2 [437]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): -24.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.00	14	78%	0.33	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Bob Sura	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.10	-0.00	7	60%	0.16	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Antonio Lang	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Donny Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	57%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.07	-0.17	0.09	-0.02	11	25%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mills	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.10	-0.04	13	41%	-0.04	2	-0.12	6	67%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.34,0.28,0.6	0.60	0.18	0.42	0.00	26	70%	0.71	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.03
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	8	37%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Willie Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donnie Boyce	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	11	48%	-0.02	2	-0.08	7	86%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.08	-0.00	10	23%	-0.14	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	29.6	16.4	24.6	1.7	42.5	141.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -0.8%

ATL +6.0%

ATL +25.5%

ATL +18.1%

ATL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	17.3	15.6	98.8	103.6	104.4
season	17.8	16.4		102.1	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.1		100.3	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.3	15.9	20.1	15.9	17.0
ATL	18.0	18.4	15.8	16.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark West	35	36	0.11	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-11	18	15.8	17.9	-2.13	17.2	17.3	-0.14
Donny Marshall	6	5	0.01	-0.50	0.51	0.01	0	-4	4	20.2	16.8	3.40	15.8	17.4	-1.57
Antonio Lang	11	13	-0.08	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-1	-2	19.1	16.7	2.39	19.9	16.8	3.13
Vitaly Potapenko	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	2	-8	16.7	17.0	-0.32	21.3	17.0	4.37
Terrell Brandon	66	67	-0.19	-0.30	0.11	-0.43	8	-12	20	16.6	18.6	-2.04	17.3	17.1	0.20
Tyrone Hill	75	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.39	5	-9	14	17.0	17.1	-0.11	17.3	16.9	0.44
Bobby Phills	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-5	6	16.8	18.2	-1.44	17.3	17.1	0.23
Chris Mills	67	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-3	2	16.4	19.5	-3.08	16.9	18.8	-1.91
Bob Sura	35	34	-0.49	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	14	-32	17.0	17.0	-0.07	17.1	17.4	-0.31
Danny Ferry	47	46	-0.61	0.12	-0.73	-0.23	-13	9	-22	19.0	14.5	4.47	16.8	17.9	-1.13

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	47	47	0.94	-0.45	1.39	0.29	22	-18	40	17.0	17.6	-0.62	16.6	17.5	-0.94
Dikembe Mutombo	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-3	10	18.0	13.5	4.42	17.1	16.4	0.74
Tyrone Corbin	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	1	2	16.6	20.6	-3.96	16.9	17.7	-0.88
Mookie Blaylock	79	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	2	0	16.7	26.8	-10.13	16.9	18.0	-1.05
Christian Laettner	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	1	2	17.8	14.9	2.93	17.9	13.0	4.88
Willie Burton	26	27	0.05	0.44	-0.39	-0.01	2	2	0	18.2	16.9	1.27	16.0	17.5	-1.49
Eldridge Recasner	17	17	-0.02	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	8	-12	19.2	16.8	2.39	15.1	17.5	-2.37
Ivano Newbill	14	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.01	-4	8	-12	14.9	17.8	-2.90	16.9	17.0	-0.10
Donnie Boyce	27	27	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	15	-26	17.3	17.3	0.03	18.0	16.5	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.72,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 89, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.71,0.89,1,1	91.6%
NJN 105, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.96,1	91.2%
IND 103, CHI 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.78,0.98,1,1	90.8%