NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	10.1 [73]		MVP	David West (NOK): +42.0%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	94		Comeback	4.8 [318]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOK): -40.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.24	-0.02	0.27	0.01	8	55%	0.36	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.11
Andrew Bogut	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	9	52%	0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.04	26	52%	0.16	3	-0.13	9	89%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	59%	0.09	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.42	0.42	0.00	0.43	0.01	23	52%	0.49	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.10	0.25	-0.01	7	83%	0.42	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.04
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	12	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	11	57%	0.09	6	-0.22	6	67%	-0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	6	25%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.4	-0.40	-0.11	-0.28	0.01	10	33%	-0.28	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	26.1	14.6	30.2	2.7	40.0	140.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +6.8%

MIL -0.7%

NOK +54.7%

MIL -18.2%

NOK +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NOK	NBA	MIL	NOK	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.6	97.9	100.0	104.4
season	15.5	16.3		104.6	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	15.2	14.8	15.7	15.1
NOK	12.8	14.2	15.2	20.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	28	27	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-4	7	15.7	14.9	0.83	15.6	15.3	0.35
Charlie Bell	36	36	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-4	7	14.7	15.3	-0.56	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Toni Kukoc	13	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	1	-3	15.8	15.0	0.87	14.4	15.5	-1.15
Jiri Welsch	26	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	0	-1	14.5	15.3	-0.87	15.0	15.5	-0.49
T.J. Ford	80	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.8	16.5	-1.71	15.1	16.7	-1.61
Jamaal Magloire	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.48	-1	0	-1	14.7	16.3	-1.61	15.2	16.0	-0.79
Michael Redd	80	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.48	-2	1	-3	15.2	14.4	0.83	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Andrew Bogut	75	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.51	-1	0	-1	15.3	14.3	1.01	15.7	13.9	1.80
Bobby Simmons	67	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.50	-3	2	-5	15.5	14.1	1.40	16.2	13.5	2.68

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	40	42	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.65	5	-4	9	15.9	15.0	0.90	15.2	15.0	0.21
Speedy Claxton	61	61	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.50	8	-7	15	16.0	14.3	1.66	15.3	14.8	0.51
David West	65	67	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.52	4	-3	7	15.6	15.0	0.60	15.2	14.8	0.39
P.J. Brown	77	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	0	1	15.4	15.5	-0.18	15.1	15.0	0.12
Chris Paul	78	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	1	-1	15.1	16.7	-1.65	14.8	16.4	-1.55
Desmond Mason	69	68	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.17	-1	2	-3	14.9	16.8	-1.93	14.9	15.7	-0.85
Kirk Snyder	49	49	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.04	-6	7	-13	15.1	15.7	-0.59	15.3	14.9	0.35
Jackson Vroman	31	30	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.08	-6	7	-13	15.5	15.3	0.25	15.2	15.1	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.58,1	91.6%
CLE 95, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.62,0.79,0.98,0.91,1	91.2%
SEA 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	91.1%