NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	96		Excitement	7.0 [242]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): +19.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	5.2 [181]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -14.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeJuan Wheat	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.05	-0.04	5	71%	0.12	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Felipe Lopez	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	117%	0.18	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Pete Chilcutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.01	14	65%	0.08	2	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	17	61%	0.10	5	-0.18	10	90%	0.04
Terry Dehere	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	8	42%	-0.12	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.11

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	10	79%	0.29	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	6	76%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	12	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	40%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.21,-0.19,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	24	45%	-0.02	3	-0.12	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	29.0	17.4	25.4	2.6	35.2	137.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.0%

VAN -3.9%

LAC +21.6%

LAC +10.8%

LAC +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAC	NBA	VAN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	17.0	15.8	107.9	119.3	99.6
season	16.4	16.7		95.7	97.5
opponent	14.7	15.1		107.0	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.2	15.0	14.0	19.8	15.6
LAC	15.8	15.0	18.7	19.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	55	53	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-20	31	14.4	17.5	-3.10	17.6	15.9	1.70
Felipe Lopez	36	36	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-14	19	15.0	16.0	-0.98	18.1	16.2	1.99
Pete Chilcutt	13	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-3	-3	16.8	15.4	1.48	14.5	17.4	-2.94
J.R. Henderson	22	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-6	3	17.5	15.0	2.54	16.8	17.0	-0.23
DeJuan Wheat	30	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	16.7	15.0	1.73	15.4	17.7	-2.32
Rodrick Rhodes	13	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	2	-13	14.5	15.8	-1.22	12.8	17.7	-4.92
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-8	7	15.4	16.5	-1.10	17.3	13.6	3.68
Mike Bibby	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	14.9	17.0	-2.10	17.5	15.9	1.57
Terry Dehere	28	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	15.9	15.4	0.50	17.1	16.9	0.21
Tony Massenburg	69	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-6	3	15.4	16.1	-0.73	17.4	15.6	1.77
Michael Smith	41	42	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.12	-20	11	-31	17.0	14.3	2.72	16.2	17.6	-1.39

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	44	44	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.31	22	-13	35	15.3	18.6	-3.30	16.1	15.0	1.09
Troy Hudson	28	29	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.34	20	-11	31	15.7	17.5	-1.78	18.3	14.3	4.04
Rodney Rogers	43	45	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-7	23	17.3	16.7	0.61	17.7	13.5	4.21
Eric Piatkowski	49	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	6	-3	17.0	16.9	0.08	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Maurice Taylor	74	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	0	9	17.4	14.9	2.42	15.6	15.3	0.33
Lamond Murray	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	2	5	15.3	18.1	-2.84	14.6	16.2	-1.66
Tyrone Nesby	63	63	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.11	-8	17	-25	17.2	16.3	0.90	14.7	17.7	-2.92
Sherman Douglas	60	60	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.10	-11	20	-31	17.5	15.7	1.78	14.3	18.3	-4.04
Michael Olowokandi	44	45	-0.46	0.96	-1.41	-0.07	-13	22	-35	18.6	15.3	3.30	15.0	16.1	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.62,0.79,0.98,0.91,1	91.8%
PHI 82, SAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.53,0.89,0.97,1,1	91.2%
SAC 113, DAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.39,0.75,0.71,0.91,0.98,1	90.9%