inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 80 Excitement3.5 [1093] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +28.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder 98 Comeback1.3 [897] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -13.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Beasley0.090,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.08-0.00-0.012454%0.101-0.01450%-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.02-0.00-0.04950%0.032-0.022100%0.01
Daequan Cook-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01329%-0.0000.0010%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.03333%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.012147%0.043-0.05944%-0.04
Rafer Alston-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.01542%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Jamaal Magloire-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03125%-0.012-0.02250%-0.01
Udonis Haslem-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Dorell Wright-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.00729%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Quentin Richardson-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0300%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.270.030.021886%0.333-0.04683%0.01
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.00-0.05964%0.121-0.014100%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.01-0.051158%0.092-0.02250%-0.01
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.00-0.07557%0.033-0.00450%-0.02
Nenad Krstic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.050.01-0.071136%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Byron Mullens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.01667%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.0230%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.170.00-0.03637%0.007-0.144100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.81.830.116.726.21.831.2133.7
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +50.3%
OKC +2.3%
OKC +4.0%
MIA -5.5%
MIA -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAOKCNBAMIAOKCNBA
this game15.216.015.387.0105.4106.0
season16.215.0104.4106.2
opponent15.515.4103.1102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.514.517.712.315.2
OKC14.814.916.617.716.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daequan Cook780.00-0.500.50-0.062-202215.115.2-0.0214.616.1-1.47
Jermaine O'Neal5958-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-151214.516.3-1.8215.516.8-1.29
Jamaal Magloire1412-0.13-0.370.230.07-7-11416.414.91.4919.915.44.53
Mario Chalmers4141-0.16-0.340.18-0.02-5-13814.315.9-1.6117.414.92.50
Joel Anthony1822-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-8-10215.615.10.4913.516.7-3.23
Quentin Richardson3233-0.24-0.260.020.05-10-8-215.115.2-0.1114.216.9-2.67
Dorell Wright5151-0.24-0.260.01-0.13-4-141016.114.02.0516.715.11.63
Udonis Haslem3433-0.30-0.20-0.110.14-15-3-1214.915.3-0.3516.915.41.46
Rafer Alston5456-0.34-0.16-0.190.10-15-3-1215.514.70.7315.516.6-1.13
Michael Beasley7677-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.06-10-8-215.314.40.9516.314.51.77
Dwyane Wade7474-0.36-0.14-0.230.08-15-3-1215.016.0-1.0415.717.1-1.43

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Green86850.410.090.310.05126615.521.9-6.3715.017.7-2.76
Kevin Durant71720.390.110.28-0.1719-12015.716.7-0.9915.414.31.04
Nick Collison34340.360.140.23-0.071531217.115.31.8615.814.81.05
Eric Maynor41400.280.220.07-0.131441016.815.31.4114.215.9-1.62
Thabo Sefolosha44420.250.25-0.010.04711-414.417.4-3.0015.914.51.36
Serge Ibaka45450.230.27-0.04-0.06108217.614.43.2114.415.9-1.45
James Harden39390.230.27-0.050.08513-817.015.21.7815.215.20.03
Russell Westbrook52520.220.28-0.070.10414-1015.316.8-1.4115.914.21.62
Nenad Krstic49480.130.37-0.230.13018-1815.816.2-0.4514.515.9-1.39
Byron Mullens430.000.50-0.50-0.12414-1011.716.2-4.4119.315.04.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 74, CHI 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
WAS 87, PHI 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
MIA 84, LAC 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%