NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	2.9 [1182]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +8.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	1.1 [1154]		LVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): -7.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jahidi White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	65%	0.00	5	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	9	22%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	15	44%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	25	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	7	70%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	70%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	64%	0.04	1	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	55%	-0.00	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.8	31.2	19.5	23.5	3.6	34.0	143.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.3%

PHI +10.8%

WAS -0.0%

PHI +15.0%

WAS -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	15.5	95.6	117.6	101.6
season	16.5	15.3		100.9	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.8	17.7	14.8	14.8	15.9
PHI	13.8	19.2	14.0	16.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	15	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.04	-3	-17	14	17.7	15.6	2.17	14.0	16.1	-2.07
Bobby Simmons	52	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-19	18	15.7	16.3	-0.63	16.6	14.6	1.92
Jahidi White	26	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-17	14	17.5	15.3	2.15	17.5	15.0	2.50
Juan Dixon	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-11	2	16.3	15.5	0.82	16.5	14.9	1.64
Larry Hughes	63	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-6	-8	15.3	17.2	-1.87	15.0	17.2	-2.25
Brendan Haywood	50	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-6	-8	14.6	17.6	-2.98	15.3	16.2	-0.95
Michael Jordan	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-8	-4	15.5	16.5	-1.01	14.6	17.6	-3.05
Kwame Brown	80	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	-2	-16	16.1	14.4	1.77	15.8	15.2	0.59
Tyronn Lue	65	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.22	-26	6	-32	16.5	14.5	1.94	16.1	14.7	1.44

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	81	80	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.18	24	-4	28	15.6	16.4	-0.76	16.2	13.8	2.39
Eric Snow	75	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	8	4	15.7	15.9	-0.18	15.8	16.4	-0.58
Kenny Thomas	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	13	-6	15.5	16.0	-0.53	16.4	15.3	1.07
Tyrone Hill	37	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	6	8	16.2	15.4	0.87	15.9	15.9	-0.05
Aaron McKie	53	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	10	0	15.2	16.4	-1.24	16.0	15.8	0.23
Derrick Coleman	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	12	-4	15.2	16.2	-1.02	16.3	15.5	0.81
Greg Buckner	45	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	11	-2	16.7	14.8	1.86	15.8	16.0	-0.15
Keith Van Horn	28	28	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.24	16	4	12	16.1	15.6	0.50	16.0	15.9	0.16
John Salmons	19	21	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	15	-10	15.4	15.8	-0.38	15.1	16.2	-1.01
Brian Skinner	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	15.9	15.7	0.22	13.7	16.3	-2.60
Efthimios Rentzias	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	16.3	15.7	0.61	13.4	16.1	-2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 91, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
DAL 99, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
LAL 89, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%