NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	74		Excitement	3.2 [1116]		MVP	Jason Caffey (CHI): +8.8%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	1.4 [1138]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -16.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Terry Cummings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	14	48%	-0.00	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.00	6	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Montross	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.23	-0.01	-0.07	15	38%	-0.07	8	-0.10	4	75%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.04	8	87%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.12	8	33%	0.03	2	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	37%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	4	10%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.03	6	62%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.00	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	12	41%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.3	29.5	15.4	21.6	2.4	24.2	120.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +29.6%

CHI +0.7%

CHI +6.0%

CHI +12.2%

CHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	13.7	15.6	75.5	95.9	102.5
season	15.4	16.2		99.7	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		97.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	13.6	17.8	15.0	15.7
CHI	12.8	14.7	14.1	13.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Walters	13	15	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.13	-3	-17	14	13.3	16.1	-2.76	17.0	13.1	3.92
Scott Williams	28	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-22	24	13.6	16.6	-2.99	14.8	13.3	1.48
Tim Thomas	40	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-23	26	14.7	16.4	-1.74	12.9	14.2	-1.24
Eric Montross	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-18	16	17.2	14.9	2.27	13.2	13.9	-0.69
Mark Davis	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.28	-16	-4	-12	13.4	16.6	-3.29	14.9	13.2	1.64
Terry Cummings	17	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.32	-18	-2	-16	16.6	15.5	1.14	15.9	13.2	2.70
Derrick Coleman	53	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-13	6	16.7	14.5	2.25	13.8	13.6	0.17
Jerry Stackhouse	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-9	-2	16.7	14.0	2.70	13.3	14.3	-0.94
Clar. Weatherspoon	65	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	-5	-10	14.8	17.5	-2.78	12.8	15.4	-2.56
Jim Jackson	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	-4	-12	16.4	14.3	2.11	14.0	13.1	0.83
Allen Iverson	85	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	-3	-14	16.1	13.3	2.76	13.1	17.0	-3.92

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	65	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.43	32	-12	44	14.1	12.8	1.30	16.1	15.0	1.09
Randy Brown	49	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.29	23	-3	26	14.1	13.2	0.92	17.5	13.9	3.63
Jason Caffey	63	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.34	24	-4	28	14.3	12.7	1.60	16.0	15.2	0.81
Michael Jordan	49	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	3	14	13.3	14.1	-0.76	17.1	14.3	2.76
Luc Longley	53	53	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.27	18	2	16	14.3	13.0	1.35	16.7	14.5	2.16
Toni Kukoc	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	8	4	13.6	13.8	-0.20	13.6	17.3	-3.70
Dennis Rodman	51	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	20	-20	13.1	14.3	-1.22	14.6	16.9	-2.34
Bill Wennington	24	25	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	12	-4	12.4	14.1	-1.73	16.2	15.5	0.72
Steve Kerr	37	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	22	-24	13.1	14.1	-1.01	13.2	17.2	-4.01
Jud Buechler	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	29	-38	12.8	13.8	-1.05	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Joe Kleine	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	27	-34	10.0	13.9	-3.92	17.3	15.6	1.74
Scott Burrell	37	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.42	-16	36	-52	14.3	13.3	0.99	15.2	16.0	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIA 84, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
LAL 89, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%