NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	84		Excitement	3.2 [1128]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +6.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	1.1 [859]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (MIA): -9.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.06	4	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	8	61%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	26%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	23	49%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	71%	0.11	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	62%	0.05	3	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	24	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	56%	-0.00	1	-0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	10	42%	0.00	5	-0.07	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	34.5	16.3	30.6	2.8	27.6	141.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.8%

LAC +10.2%

LAC +9.5%

LAC +8.1%

MIA -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAC	NBA	MIA	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.3	90.3	100.0	106.0
season	16.2	15.5		104.4	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		108.5	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.2	13.6	14.2	14.4	14.9
LAC	12.1	17.0	16.4	18.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	40	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-16	22	13.7	15.8	-2.14	17.3	14.9	2.35
Joel Anthony	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-2	-6	19.9	14.4	5.45	17.0	15.8	1.20
Mario Chalmers	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-9	8	15.2	14.7	0.50	18.4	14.7	3.67
Udonis Haslem	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-6	2	15.8	14.2	1.54	16.6	15.4	1.25
Jermaine O'Neal	40	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-1	-8	14.9	14.9	0.06	13.8	17.6	-3.83
Rafer Alston	45	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	3	-16	15.9	13.9	2.02	14.4	17.4	-2.96
Quentin Richardson	56	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-3	-4	14.5	15.4	-0.90	14.8	17.8	-3.02
Dorell Wright	55	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-8	6	14.5	15.4	-0.94	17.2	14.2	2.97
Dwyane Wade	73	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	3	-16	14.7	15.5	-0.84	14.7	20.3	-5.65
Michael Beasley	76	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-11	12	14.5	16.7	-2.22	16.9	11.2	5.70

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	-3	16	14.8	19.3	-4.50	15.2	14.1	1.07
Marcus Camby	63	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.10	16	-6	22	14.3	19.2	-4.96	14.9	14.8	0.08
Chris Kaman	76	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	4	2	15.8	16.5	-0.74	14.5	16.3	-1.79
Eric Gordon	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	-6	22	13.9	18.8	-4.84	15.8	13.6	2.22
Rasual Butler	79	78	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.40	-4	14	-18	15.6	17.5	-1.86	14.3	17.9	-3.63
Craig Smith	34	35	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	1	8	17.7	14.9	2.82	15.7	14.4	1.27
Al Thornton	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	9	-8	18.4	13.8	4.68	14.8	15.0	-0.23
Ricky Davis	19	19	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	8	-6	18.8	15.2	3.68	15.2	14.8	0.40
Mardy Collins	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.20	-3	13	-16	19.3	14.8	4.50	14.1	15.2	-1.07
DeAndre Jordan	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	19.3	15.7	3.66	13.7	15.0	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 77, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
PHI 74, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DAL 91, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%