inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 101 Excitement3.0 [1170] MVPThaddeus Young (PHI): +13.1%
Philadelphia 76ers 117 Comeback1.3 [919] LVPMonta Ellis (GSW): -17.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Randolph0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.01760%0.0710.001182%0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01580%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Corey Maggette0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.03877%0.066-0.021587%-0.01
CJ Watson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.020.04477%0.062-0.045100%0.02
Anthony Morrow0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Devean George0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.104112%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore-0.000,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01757%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Chris Hunter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0210%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.011347%-0.044-0.02475%-0.00
Monta Ellis-0.170,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.19-0.01-0.031424%-0.123-0.05540%-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.01-0.052160%0.153-0.011100%0.00
Allen Iverson0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.010.041071%0.121-0.02875%-0.01
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.00-0.05773%0.093-0.011100%0.00
Jrue Holiday0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.00-0.051454%0.063-0.0200%0.00
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.010.071070%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.02267%0.0100.002100%0.00
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney Carney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.000.05967%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.20-0.00-0.102030%-0.064-0.036100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.72.531.915.826.01.831.2136.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +25.6%
PHI +1.1%
PHI +18.5%
PHI +4.5%
PHI +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWPHINBAGSWPHINBA
this game13.016.115.3102.0118.2106.0
season13.415.1106.5104.2
opponent15.814.8108.4110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.414.814.99.613.0
PHI14.214.515.120.816.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devean George3435-0.01-0.490.48-0.279-253410.614.2-3.5419.114.54.67
CJ Watson6263-0.11-0.390.28-0.203-192212.214.3-2.0816.914.82.11
Anthony Randolph5858-0.11-0.390.27-0.327-233012.314.0-1.7217.114.82.33
Chris Hunter1312-0.18-0.320.140.11-10-6-414.312.81.5414.416.4-1.94
Corey Maggette6968-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-7-9212.813.4-0.6716.215.80.41
Vladimir Radmanovic4343-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-6-10414.112.12.0714.817.1-2.27
Mikki Moore3333-0.30-0.20-0.100.26-193-2214.212.41.7714.616.9-2.32
Stephen Curry7374-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-14-2-1212.713.7-0.9816.914.02.89
Anthony Morrow4748-0.45-0.05-0.400.20-226-2813.612.41.1115.217.0-1.77
Monta Ellis6361-0.47-0.03-0.440.15-215-2614.011.12.9214.418.8-4.37

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thaddeus Young81840.51-0.010.53-0.2827-113815.419.3-3.9313.410.52.95
Jrue Holiday83820.410.090.31-0.1820-42415.818.0-2.2412.913.2-0.32
Allen Iverson66670.350.150.19-0.3323-73014.619.1-4.5013.711.42.31
Andre Iguodala71700.340.160.180.16610-416.215.80.4213.112.60.59
Elton Brand33330.280.230.050.25115-1417.615.42.1812.413.3-0.86
Samuel Dalembert61620.230.28-0.05-0.2717-11815.018.0-3.0513.611.91.68
Willie Green33330.160.34-0.180.13115-1417.815.32.4512.513.2-0.64
Rodney Carney25240.140.36-0.220.05313-1015.416.4-1.0212.613.1-0.51
Royal Ivey18170.090.41-0.310.15-218-2017.815.72.0911.913.2-1.24
Jason Kapono13130.000.50-0.500.27-925-3422.415.27.2111.413.2-1.82
Primoz Brezec540.000.50-0.500.06-218-2020.815.94.938.013.2-5.18
Jason Smith660.000.50-0.500.15-521-2621.315.85.557.313.3-6.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 74, CHI 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
DAL 91, GSW 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
DEN 65, PHX 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%