inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 117 Excitement6.4 [510] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +28.6%
Golden State Warriors 114 Comeback1.7 [868] LVPMonta Ellis (GSW): -11.5%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.290,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.290.170.08-0.032362%0.352-0.061486%0.01
Jawad Williams0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.000.00592%0.1100.00250%-0.01
Anderson Varejao0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.02871%0.164-0.09560%-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.021158%0.071-0.00250%-0.01
Daniel Gibson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.031150%0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0.010,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00862%0.073-0.06560%-0.02
JJ Hickson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Delonte West-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03-0.080.01-0.041045%0.074-0.0900%0.00
Anthony Parker-0.040,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01550%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Mo Williams-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.02840%-0.014-0.084100%0.03

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.170.020.061470%0.192-0.061894%0.06
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.001269%0.123-0.07250%-0.01
Cartier Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00642%0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.001150%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02312%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06-0.060.07-0.060.071560%-0.002-0.06580%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.030.032549%0.015-0.131182%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.52.735.015.627.22.735.6147.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +57.4%
GSW -1.1%
CLE +1.9%
GSW -13.0%
CLE +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEGSWNBACLEGSWNBA
this game16.311.815.3114.7110.7106.0
season16.113.4109.5106.5
opponent14.815.0110.0103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE14.716.515.019.416.3
GSW12.013.512.29.411.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James89880.68-0.180.860.3312-92116.416.20.1311.811.50.36
Anderson Varejao65660.65-0.150.810.1816-132916.416.20.1611.412.4-0.94
Anthony Parker68650.410.100.310.294-1517.015.11.8812.211.01.19
Mo Williams69710.370.130.230.254-1516.216.6-0.4312.210.81.40
Zydrunas Ilgauskas38370.330.170.160.0111-81914.617.4-2.7310.812.3-1.51
Delonte West58600.220.28-0.050.40-69-1517.315.12.1210.913.0-2.02
Daniel Gibson1110-0.010.51-0.510.23-811-1922.515.66.958.412.1-3.74
Jawad Williams4548-0.010.51-0.520.31-1114-2515.916.7-0.7711.412.1-0.79
Shaquille O'Neal4042-0.020.52-0.550.01-14-515.417.0-1.5913.110.82.31
JJ Hickson2728-0.120.62-0.740.05-69-1515.016.8-1.8313.211.22.02

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronny Turiaf25250.11-0.610.73-0.066-91511.911.70.1416.216.4-0.24
CJ Watson3032-0.07-0.430.36-0.308-11199.512.7-3.2619.115.14.01
Devean George98-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-1-114.911.53.4113.616.6-2.95
Chris Hunter1716-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-41-513.811.42.4514.716.6-1.89
Andris Biedrins2828-0.27-0.23-0.040.03-107-1712.711.41.3414.217.2-2.98
Cartier Martin4243-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.290-3310.512.6-2.0816.915.90.97
Stephen Curry7574-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.331-4512.310.51.8016.615.70.87
Corey Maggette9492-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.371-4511.613.6-1.9516.614.02.60
Vladimir Radmanovic7372-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.17-63-911.911.40.4815.817.6-1.83
Anthony Morrow2323-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.15-85-1312.311.60.6217.416.01.35
Monta Ellis9997-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.38-1-2111.615.2-3.6116.121.6-5.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 115, PHX 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,094.6%
POR 106, DAL 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.5%
MIL 118, ATL 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.4%