NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	115		Excitement	5.1 [783]		MVP	Gary Trent (POR): +13.4%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	1.9 [372]		LVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): -10.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	14	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Dontonio Wingfield	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.01	7	94%	0.15	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Kenny Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	17	50%	0.07	1	-0.00	10	50%	-0.02
Marcus Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	87%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	18	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mitchell Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Rider	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	12	53%	0.03	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	7	84%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	19	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.03	0.06	11	79%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	13	43%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	12	60%	0.05	6	-0.16	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.6	25.3	15.4	24.5	2.8	38.4	133.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.1%

PHX -2.6%

POR +6.8%

POR +20.1%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	13.9	15.6	116.2	107.1	104.4
season	15.5	14.6		105.2	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.2	17.7	15.1	13.8	15.3
PHX	13.6	15.0	16.2	11.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	91	90	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	5	0	14.9	20.0	-5.10	13.7	16.6	-2.95
Gary Trent	72	73	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	3	4	15.3	15.2	0.13	13.9	13.9	-0.00
Chris Dudley	72	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	3	4	16.2	13.0	3.18	14.5	12.2	2.36
Isaiah Rider	76	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	6	-2	15.2	15.8	-0.61	13.7	14.5	-0.73
Clifford Robinson	77	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	6	-2	15.9	13.1	2.80	14.8	11.0	3.82
Dontonio Wingfield	38	39	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	3	4	15.5	15.2	0.30	13.0	14.5	-1.53
Mitchell Butler	34	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	3	4	12.8	16.6	-3.84	12.4	14.7	-2.25
Jermaine O'Neal	20	17	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	6	-2	17.3	14.8	2.55	15.5	13.6	1.88
Marcus Brown	15	14	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	5	0	13.5	15.6	-2.10	12.8	14.1	-1.32

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	71	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-14	18	13.7	14.4	-0.73	14.4	18.0	-3.59
Kevin Johnson	87	89	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-11	12	13.6	16.5	-2.96	14.9	19.0	-4.10
Steve Nash	20	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	0	-10	12.3	14.3	-2.03	12.8	15.9	-3.06
Loren Meyer	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	15.3	12.4	2.90	15.7	14.9	0.74
Danny Manning	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.16	-4	-6	2	14.3	13.5	0.81	17.2	13.4	3.78
Hot Rod Williams	40	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	3	-16	15.3	13.0	2.29	15.3	15.3	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	73	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-6	2	13.2	16.0	-2.74	14.2	18.5	-4.29
Rex Chapman	46	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-1	-8	12.8	14.9	-2.02	15.0	15.6	-0.64
Mark Bryant	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	14.5	13.2	1.26	17.8	12.2	5.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 117, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.6%
CHH 92, SAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.3%
LAL 98, VAN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.2%