NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	4.5 [892]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +24.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	1.1 [543]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -18.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	9	72%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	9	79%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	11	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	0.01	37	41%	-0.04	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.29	0.05	0.09	11	89%	0.25	0	0.00	14	93%	0.03
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.13	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	17	39%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	63%	0.10	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	30.6	15.7	23.0	1.8	40.8	136.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +24.5%

POR +16.0%

POR +4.5%

POR +1.3%

POR +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.9	16.4	15.3	112.6	124.4	106.0
season	15.7	16.7		107.9	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.6	16.8	18.2	14.4	16.9
POR	17.4	15.2	17.8	15.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Mbenga	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-9	9	16.6	16.9	-0.27	17.5	16.3	1.19
Sasha Vujacic	6	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-8	7	17.2	16.9	0.31	12.7	16.7	-4.03
Shannon Brown	34	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-9	9	16.1	17.4	-1.34	16.1	16.6	-0.45
Jordan Farmar	25	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-1	-7	18.5	16.2	2.31	15.1	16.9	-1.82
Josh Powell	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	1	-11	21.7	16.2	5.56	12.8	16.9	-4.09
Metta World Peace	62	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	3	-15	17.5	15.3	2.18	17.1	14.8	2.23
Lamar Odom	78	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-10	11	16.2	23.0	-6.83	16.8	12.8	4.07
Derek Fisher	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-8	7	16.2	18.5	-2.31	16.9	15.1	1.82
Andrew Bynum	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	0	-9	16.9	16.5	0.39	16.3	17.1	-0.77
Kobe Bryant	72	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	-4	-1	16.7	17.7	-1.04	16.4	16.8	-0.41

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	82	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	-7	23	16.4	16.5	-0.09	16.9	16.0	0.92
Brandon Roy	66	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	16.2	17.2	-1.08	17.2	15.6	1.66
Andre Miller	72	72	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.50	-6	15	-21	16.9	13.8	3.14	16.2	20.2	-4.02
Dante Cunningham	32	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-5	19	15.0	17.3	-2.26	17.1	16.8	0.30
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	13	-17	16.7	15.3	1.40	16.2	19.7	-3.52
Juwan Howard	61	61	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	7	-5	17.0	15.0	2.00	17.2	16.2	1.03
Jerryd Bayless	38	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	1	7	15.9	16.8	-0.94	17.0	16.8	0.23
Jeff Ayres	8	8	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	3	3	15.5	16.5	-1.01	21.6	16.4	5.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SAC 86, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DAL 101, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%