NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	5.7 [645]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +29.6%
Denver Nuggets	109		Comeback	1.1 [1105]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -17.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.05
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	11	50%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	45%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	39%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Andre Miller	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.04	0.08	21	48%	-0.07	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.08	-0.03	25	66%	0.38	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	7	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	16	64%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	35%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.02	7	36%	-0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	29.5	15.5	27.5	2.3	29.4	129.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +34.5%

DEN +14.5%

PHI -13.5%

DEN +16.9%

PHI -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	15.4	97.0	107.9	105.7
season	15.2	13.3		104.0	108.2
opponent	15.2	16.2		105.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	17.0	13.8	12.9	14.9
DEN	11.8	12.4	14.4	17.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	13.5	14.9	-1.44	21.5	13.7	7.75
Reggie Evans	56	58	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-15	17	15.1	14.6	0.50	13.6	14.3	-0.74
Jason Smith	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-13	13	14.6	15.0	-0.38	13.5	14.0	-0.52
Gordan Giricek	28	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-15	17	15.5	14.7	0.82	13.1	14.2	-1.10
Thaddeus Young	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-15	17	14.5	15.4	-0.90	13.9	13.9	0.04
Willie Green	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	15.4	14.4	1.04	14.1	13.7	0.35
Lou Williams	56	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-4	-5	14.9	15.0	-0.08	14.3	13.4	0.92
Andre Miller	71	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	2	-17	14.6	15.6	-0.97	13.9	13.9	-0.04
Samuel Dalembert	82	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.11	-16	3	-19	15.1	14.1	0.96	13.4	16.2	-2.74
Andre Iguodala	71	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.09	-19	6	-25	14.7	15.4	-0.67	14.5	12.3	2.14

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	79	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-5	23	13.8	14.2	-0.42	15.1	14.4	0.70
Marcus Camby	70	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	1	11	13.5	14.8	-1.35	15.2	14.3	0.88
Carmelo Anthony	75	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	2	9	14.0	13.5	0.49	14.6	15.7	-1.01
Linas Kleiza	44	45	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	5	3	14.4	13.5	0.90	14.9	14.9	0.00
Allen Iverson	93	91	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	7	-1	14.0	12.4	1.66	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Kenyon Martin	57	54	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	3	7	13.8	14.0	-0.26	15.4	14.3	1.14
Nene	45	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	10	-7	14.2	13.6	0.58	14.4	15.4	-0.97
Eduardo Najera	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	10	-7	14.2	13.8	0.34	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Chucky Atkins	17	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	19	-25	12.6	14.2	-1.58	14.4	15.0	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.2%
WAS 91, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
ORL 100, PHX 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%