inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 110 Excitement7.6 [273] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +34.6%
Boston Celtics 113 Comeback3.0 [748] LVPThaddeus Young (PHI): -30.9%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Willie Green0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.150.15-0.00790%0.321-0.026100%0.05
Jason Kapono0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.250.170.07-0.001183%0.2500.0020%-0.00
Jason Smith0.100,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.050.014100%0.131-0.0400%0.00
Royal Ivey0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.001150%0.0700.0000%0.00
Rodney Carney0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.001125%0.0600.002100%0.01
Andre Iguodala0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.010.02-0.02-0.011857%0.224-0.20887%0.05
Primoz Brezec-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Samuel Dalembert-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.010.00825%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Jrue Holiday-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.01-0.011333%-0.064-0.09450%-0.03
Thaddeus Young-0.310,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.31-0.04-0.210.051647%-0.103-0.21450%-0.04

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.350.350.220.130.001579%0.3500.004100%0.03
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.140.14-0.030.14-0.03956%0.233-0.0800%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.06-0.00963%0.153-0.061275%0.02
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.070.070.060.050.04959%0.0700.004100%0.04
Ray Allen0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.070.070.060.020.011455%0.0700.005100%0.05
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01760%0.072-0.05667%-0.01
Brian Scalabrine00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lester Hudson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00125%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.01744%0.052-0.06450%-0.04
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.02-0.01731%-0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.631.115.733.01.843.4152.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +1.3%
BOS +18.2%
BOS +1.1%
BOS +30.2%
PHI -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIBOSNBAPHIBOSNBA
this game14.016.515.3115.8120.2106.0
season15.115.5104.2105.7
opponent15.715.8102.1108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI15.014.713.712.714.0
BOS15.616.717.016.616.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Primoz Brezec20180.27-0.771.04-0.0511-142514.014.00.0215.816.6-0.77
Royal Ivey14130.22-0.720.930.104-71111.614.4-2.8012.817.0-4.28
Rodney Carney17180.15-0.650.80-0.026-91514.713.90.8218.715.92.80
Willie Green2726-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-71115.113.61.5116.216.6-0.42
Samuel Dalembert5557-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-52-713.814.4-0.5916.017.2-1.16
Jason Kapono6058-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.492-5713.115.6-2.5316.316.7-0.38
Jrue Holiday6867-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.26-74-1113.615.1-1.5116.815.61.21
Andre Iguodala9191-0.610.11-0.72-0.40-74-1113.917.0-3.1016.417.7-1.25
Jason Smith4545-0.700.20-0.89-0.32-1310-2315.612.62.9416.816.10.66
Thaddeus Young7877-0.740.24-0.97-0.44-107-1714.512.12.4016.814.91.85

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rajon Rondo73720.76-0.261.030.4710-71716.416.7-0.2714.113.70.44
Paul Pierce85860.68-0.180.860.3910-71716.119.6-3.4313.915.7-1.81
Eddie House43450.500.000.490.268-51317.715.42.2413.414.6-1.24
Marquis Daniels40390.300.200.100.39-36-917.515.71.7714.213.90.29
Kendrick Perkins45450.250.250.00-0.019-61515.617.2-1.6015.113.02.09
Kevin Garnett62630.230.27-0.040.1721115.717.9-2.2413.814.5-0.75
Rasheed Wallace40400.220.28-0.060.25-14-517.815.52.2914.213.90.25
Ray Allen64660.020.48-0.460.14-47-1116.017.4-1.3814.014.2-0.25
Lester Hudson11-0.040.54-0.590.04-36-93.016.6-13.6017.014.03.00
Shelden Williams910-0.130.63-0.760.05-69-1519.016.22.8116.013.82.20
Brian Scalabrine88-0.290.79-1.08-0.08-710-1715.216.6-1.3210.614.3-3.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.43,0.47,0.67,0.68,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.77,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 82, SAS 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,193.7%
TOR 103, NJN 1160.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.96,1,1,192.6%
MIL 89, UTA 940.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,192.0%