NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	82		Excitement	6.9 [423]		MVP	Elliot Perry (PHX): +8.9%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	2.8 [661]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -38.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	9	40%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Santiago	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Corie Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.00	15	35%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Delk	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	7	33%	-0.10	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.13	-0.14	0.04	20	36%	-0.23	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.36,-0.36,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.39	-0.24	-0.17	-0.01	20	27%	-0.21	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.02	12	57%	0.11	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	77%	0.10	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.05	0.00	15	55%	0.15	5	-0.16	3	67%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	12	59%	0.05	4	-0.08	5	40%	-0.06
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	3	79%	0.04	3	-0.11	13	85%	0.03
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	30.4	16.5	29.2	2.4	31.6	138.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +79.4%

PHX -2.6%

PHX -20.7%

PHX -15.4%

SAS +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.5	83.7	92.8	100.9
season	14.9	15.9		97.7	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		96.5	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.2	15.2	15.0	14.1	14.8
SAS	14.8	15.4	16.3	12.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	25	25	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.07	8	-16	24	14.6	14.9	-0.37	16.4	14.1	2.34
Chris Dudley	35	34	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-17	26	15.2	14.6	0.61	16.3	13.9	2.41
Paul McPherson	45	46	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.19	11	-19	30	13.4	16.1	-2.66	14.8	14.6	0.20
Clifford Robinson	41	43	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.10	7	-15	22	15.2	14.6	0.62	15.8	13.8	1.96
Tom Gugliotta	14	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	16.1	14.6	1.44	13.6	14.9	-1.25
Daniel Santiago	20	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-4	0	14.9	14.8	0.08	15.1	14.6	0.56
Rodney Rogers	78	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-10	12	14.0	17.9	-3.91	14.6	15.0	-0.38
Corie Blount	24	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.04	-13	5	-18	16.2	14.4	1.87	14.6	14.7	-0.18
Tony Delk	69	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	6	-20	14.8	15.0	-0.28	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Jason Kidd	81	81	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.20	-18	10	-28	14.9	14.5	0.44	13.9	18.6	-4.70
Shawn Marion	58	56	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.10	-23	15	-38	15.7	13.5	2.22	13.6	16.2	-2.63

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	85	86	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-6	20	14.2	18.3	-4.15	15.0	13.7	1.33
Tim Duncan	64	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-9	26	13.9	16.2	-2.29	15.4	13.5	1.97
Danny Ferry	44	45	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-2	12	14.0	15.3	-1.32	14.3	15.3	-0.93
David Robinson	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	0	8	15.1	13.7	1.39	15.7	12.8	2.85
Derek Anderson	61	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-6	20	13.7	16.4	-2.64	15.3	14.1	1.17
Terry Porter	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.23	-6	14	-20	16.4	13.7	2.64	14.1	15.3	-1.17
Malik Rose	44	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.11	-6	14	-20	15.8	13.8	2.04	14.2	15.3	-1.08
Sean Elliott	62	61	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	10	-12	14.8	14.5	0.38	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Steve Kerr	12	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	14	-20	18.3	14.2	4.15	13.7	15.0	-1.33
Samaki Walker	8	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	11	-14	14.2	14.7	-0.49	12.0	15.1	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 110, BOS 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.43,0.47,0.67,0.68,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.77,1	93.7%
MIL 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	93.1%
TOR 103, NJN 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.96,1,1,1	92.7%