inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 103 Excitement6.0 [624] MVPSundiata Gaines (NJN): +18.2%
New Jersey Nets 116 Comeback1.9 [661] LVPJose Calderon (TOR): -12.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.150,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.190.010.051968%0.1500.006100%0.03
Ed Davis0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.070.006100%0.192-0.0500%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.05-0.011856%0.161-0.03560%-0.03
Amir Johnson0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01567%0.0500.002100%0.01
Alexis Ajinca0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.03940%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Sonny Weems-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00650%0.021-0.04250%-0.01
Jerryd Bayless-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00075%0.042-0.08475%-0.01
James Johnson-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.02812%-0.0800.0010%-0.02
Jose Calderon-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.040.011125%-0.1300.002100%0.01

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sundiata Gaines0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.060.12-0.013100%0.201-0.011100%0.01
Damion James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.120.060.01688%0.191-0.025100%0.03
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.050.100.00475%0.1500.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.001458%0.112-0.04367%-0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.02955%0.0400.00475%-0.01
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.04-0.001553%0.123-0.0800%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00243%0.0300.00333%-0.02
Brook Lopez0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.10-0.040.031768%0.103-0.083100%0.02
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.010.02644%-0.0200.00667%-0.03
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.328.315.724.81.731.6128.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NJN +55.3%
TOR -3.4%
NJN +6.3%
TOR -11.5%
NJN +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORNJNNBATORNJNNBA
this game14.515.615.5107.3122.1105.7
season15.116.4104.7101.6
opponent15.315.5108.5111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.315.313.714.814.5
NJN15.015.315.816.515.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alexis Ajinca10100.23-0.730.96-0.039-223117.514.23.3317.815.42.41
Ed Davis42420.01-0.510.53-0.2810-233314.214.7-0.5016.814.72.05
Jerryd Bayless2626-0.10-0.400.29-0.07-1-121115.514.21.2917.415.02.40
DeMar DeRozan6767-0.20-0.300.09-0.06-5-8314.913.61.2915.915.10.71
James Johnson4442-0.20-0.300.09-0.03-6-7114.514.6-0.0814.516.6-2.09
Leandro Barbosa3838-0.21-0.290.08-0.01-7-6-114.314.7-0.4316.714.91.78
Sonny Weems4343-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.15-8-5-314.214.8-0.6115.515.7-0.24
Andrea Bargnani8079-0.39-0.11-0.270.02-141-1513.817.9-4.1015.217.7-2.53
Jose Calderon7069-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.05-12-1-1114.215.5-1.2915.017.4-2.40
Amir Johnson6059-0.860.36-1.220.05-3118-4915.113.51.6315.016.6-1.60

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damion James54560.84-0.341.190.2022-93114.916.6-1.7014.714.20.46
Sundiata Gaines17170.50-0.000.500.21103715.015.8-0.7813.514.7-1.20
Brook Lopez75760.320.180.14-0.00112915.516.3-0.8313.817.1-3.26
Kris Humphries73740.290.210.08-0.1515-21715.416.5-1.1214.016.1-2.10
Jordan Farmar27270.280.220.060.19310-716.115.50.6614.814.40.36
Johan Petro19190.180.32-0.140.12211-915.915.60.3217.513.83.68
Travis Outlaw54530.090.41-0.310.15-215-1716.514.51.9414.314.7-0.40
Deron Williams69700.090.41-0.31-0.1176115.715.60.0414.414.7-0.29
Sasha Vujacic58580.080.42-0.34-0.0449-515.715.60.0815.013.81.17
Anthony Morrow23240.040.46-0.42-0.05310-716.115.50.6414.614.50.14
Stephen Graham66-0.220.72-0.950.07-1023-3316.715.61.0917.214.32.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.96,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 102, MIL 1190.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.0%
POR 87, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,192.9%
PHX 82, SAS 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,192.7%